Trade watch as Dons eye top-10 haul; when bevy of bids will come — Draft burning Qs

One of the most important events on the AFL calendar is mere days away.
The 2024 AFL national draft beckons, with young guns set to have their footy dreams realised, and clubs poised to take their next list-building steps to propel premiership tilts.
From start times to a bidding system explainer, plus the biggest burning questions and which clubs could take the top prospects, here’s everything you need to know in our 2025 AFL Draft Ultimate Guide!
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WHEN IS THE 2025 AFL DRAFT, WHAT TIME DOES IT START, AND HOW CAN I WATCH?
The 2025 AFL national draft will be staged across two days, beginning on Wednesday, November 19 and concluding on Thursday, November 20. Coverage of both nights starts at 7pm (AEDT).
The first round will be held on Wednesday, November 20. Twenty-three picks are slated, but four likely top-10 bids on academy and father-son talent — as well as multiple more before the end of the round — will mean we’ll see more than that on night one.
The remaining rounds of the draft will take place on Thursday, November 20.
AFL Media’s Cal Twomey reported in October that between 44 and 57 total picks are expected to be used — potentially a record low. For context, 71 and 64 players were taken in the past two drafts.
Fox Footy, via Channel 504 and streaming on Kayo Sports, again has exclusive broadcast rights for the draft.
You can also follow Foxfooty.com.au’s live and comprehensive coverage with analysis of every pick and club, as well as via Fox Footy’s social media channels.
The 2025 AFL pre-season draft and 2025 AFL rookie draft will be held on the afternoon of Friday, November 21.
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HOW DOES THE AFL DRAFT WORK?
All 18 clubs are entitled to draft picks, which are based on the reverse finishing order from the previous AFL season.
And in a change that came into effect this year, these picks can now be traded up to two years in advance.
Additionally, some picks are also distributed as compensation for departed free agents.
On draft night, the teams select in order, going about adding the best young or mature-aged talent that aren’t already on AFL lists.
The only exceptions are when draft picks are traded on the night or when bids for father-son and academy prospects linked to certain clubs are made. Those clubs then choose whether or not to match those rival bids with draft points.
HOW DOES THE AFL DRAFT BIDDING SYSTEM WORK?
The AFL has a Draft Value Index, a system where each draft pick — up until the 54th selection — is allocated a points value.
This allows clubs with existing links to draft prospects — either through academy programs or as father-sons — to ‘pay’ for these players by using multiple picks. It also means rival clubs can bid on these players.
For clubs to secure their linked talent, they must pay and match a bid by using the draft picks they already hold. This is often done by bundling up multiple later picks to amass a cumulative value of a higher pick.
There is a 20 per cent discount for matching bids in the first round. The discount after that is fixed at 197 points.
If a club does not have enough picks at the time, it can enter ‘draft deficit’, meaning the value of its hand next year will decrease. If that club chooses not to match a bid, then the player will go to the club that made the bid.
The league’s Index underwent a significant change ahead of this year. It saw a reduction in total points, removing points from later picks to make it harder for clubs to use multiple late-round selections to match bids on father-son and Academy players.
Last year, picks up to no.73 in the order held a points value. That is no longer the case.
HUGE Gillard tackle sums up Demons win | 00:21
WHO ARE THE BEST PLAYERS IN THE DRAFT?
Gippsland Power utility Willem Duursma is seen as the consensus top talent heading into Wednesday night’s count — sitting atop Fox Footy draft expert Ben Waterworth’s top 50 rankings.
Duursma, who has been compared to Hawthorn’s Will Day, has an elite kick, great lateral movement and the versatility to play in multiple positions on the field. It’s seen as a fait accompli that the West Coast Eagles will make him the first overall selection.
This year’s intake is considerably compromised, however, with four of Waterworth’s top prospects not available in the open pool due to being club-tied as academy graduates or father-son prospects.
Zeke Uwland — an Errol Gulden-like line-breaker sitting at no.2 in the rankings — will have a rival bid matched by the Gold Coast Suns, while no.5, the explosive and damaging Dylan Patterson, is an academy teammate of Uwland’s and is thus also Gold Coast-bound.
Brisbane Academy product Dan Annable is considered a top-three prospect and will be a tremendous long-term addition to the Lions’ star-studded midfield.
And then there’s Harry Dean — the foremost defensive prospect in this year’s class — who’ll follow in father Peter’s footsteps and don navy blue after potentially drawing a bid in the top five or six picks.
Calder Cannons ruck-forward Cooper Duff-Tytler is considered the number-two open-pool talent, flashing ‘unicorn’ potential in the Luke Jackson mould, standing at 200 centimetres. He is also tipped to become an Eagle, provided West Coast stands pat with the opening two selections.
After Duursma and Duff-Tytler, many consider all-time bolter Sullivan Robey to be the next-best cab off the rank, with the Eastern Ranges forward-midfielder coming from the clouds to ascend to top-10-pick status.
Waterworth believes Robey is the “biggest bolter in an AFL draft since Clayton Oliver (Pick 4 in 2015)”.
Hard-headed South Australian midfielder Dyson Sharp boasts leadership capabilities in addition to his ball-winning ability and cleanliness at the coalface, while versatile Victorian defender Xavier Taylor has drawn comparisons to Hawthorn’s Josh Weddle due to his tantalising two-way game while standing at 191 centimetres.
RELATED: Best draft prospects ranked 1-50 and AFL stars they play like
Everything you need to know about the 2025 draft.Source: FOX SPORTS
WHAT ARE THE BIG STORYLINES OF THE DRAFT?
When will the bids come? And how many will there be?
This year’s draft is considered by many to be the most compromised in history, with a litany of top prospects not available in the open pool as the northern and Next Generation academies continue to pay fruitful dividends.
It’s expected that West Coast and Richmond, who cumulatively hold the opening four picks of the draft, will do the majority of the early bidding as it pertains to upper-echelon club-tied talent Uwland, Dean, Patterson and Annable.
The Eagles are widely anticipated to make Duursma the natural first overall selection, but they may end up using their second selection to bid on both of Uwland and Dean before the Tigers get on the clock and likely make the Suns and Lions pay up for Patterson and Annable respectively.
Waterworth believes the highly-touted quartet are more likely than not to all be off the board after seven picks.
But the bidding will be far from over from there, with a host of Next Generation Academy products set to attract plenty of interest early in the order.
Sydney-tied duo Harry Kyle and Max King will receive rival bids, with Kyle potentially set to be the fifth club-tied name off the board in the middle of the first round.
Jai Murray (Gold Coast), Jack Ison (Carlton), Tylah Williams (West Coast Eagles) and Adam Sweid (Essendon) are among the other relevant academy names, with Waterworth predicting 10 bids among the draft’s first 30 selections.
Where will the trades come, and why?
Carlton is expected to trade its ninth and 11th selections in preparation for an earlier-than-anticipated rival bid for in-demand key defender Harry Dean.
The Eagles now appear more likely than not to take a swing at Dean at no.2 overall, with the Blues set to trade the no.9 pick to Essendon and the 11th choice to North Melbourne.
The Blues will receive two picks in the 20s from the Bombers and an early-second-rounder and a future second from the Roos in order to stockpile more draft points.
Which directions will Tigers, Bombers go?
What Richmond decides to do with its two top-five picks is an intriguing talking point, given that once the early bidding is done, there are multiple directions they could go.
The Tigers have been “consistently linked” with Eastern Ranges pair Xavier Taylor and Sullivan Robey, as well as Oakleigh Chargers’ Sam Grlj.
It’d be hard to go wrong with any of that trio, but list manager Blair Hartley and company could opt to take one young gun and trade the other choice for a future first-rounder.
But if the Tigers stand pat, North Adelaide midfielder-forward Sam Cumming is another name that shouldn’t be ruled out of contention.
As for the Bombers, Matt Rosa and his list crew are set to be armed with three picks inside the top 10 after a likely draft night trade with Carlton for the no.9 selection.
And while that ninth overall choice should ultimately drift out to no.13 come Wednesday night, Essendon is set to come away with three top prospects as it looks to inject more youth after blooding a record number of debutants this year.
Waterworth predicts hard-headed South Australian midfielder Dyson Sharp to be the club’s first pick at no.9 overall, with the Dons also very interested in Eastern Ranges’ Sullivan Robey — who should be off the board by then.
Essendon is justifiably keen on engine room talent, but defensive names such as Jacob Farrow and Xavier Taylor, and forwards Aidan Schubert and Lachy Dovaston, are others for supporters to keep an eye on.
Further, Essendon is also expected to match a late-first-round or early-second-round rival bid for exciting NGA talent Adam Sweid, as well as Hussein El Achkar later on.
WHAT IS THE AFL DRAFT 2024 ORDER?
See below, featuring the pick, club and then draft points attached to the selection.
Note: With live-trading, the draft order is subject to change.
ROUND 1
1. West Coast Eagles
2. West Coast Eagles (Oscar Allen compensation pick)
3. Richmond
4. Richmond (tied to North Melbourne)
5. Essendon
6. Essendon (tied to Melbourne)
7. Melbourne (received from Gold Coast Suns in Christian Petracca trade, originally tied to Port Adelaide)
8. Melbourne (received from Gold Coast Suns in Christian Petracca trade, Gold Coast Suns received from St Kilda in Sam Flanders trade)
9. Carlton (received from Hawthorn in pick swap, originally tied to Carlton)
10. Hawthorn (received from Carlton in pick swap, Carlton received as Tom De Koning compensation pick)
11. Carlton (received from Sydney in Charlie Curnow trade)
12. GWS Giants (received from Western Bulldogs in pick swap)
13. West Coast Eagles (received from Fremantle in Brandon Starcevich trade)
14. Western Bulldogs (received from GWS Giants in pick swap)
15. Gold Coast Suns
16. Adelaide Crows
17. Brisbane Lions (received from West Coast Eagles in Brandon Starcevich trade, originally tied to Hawthorn)
18. Gold Coast Suns (tied to Collingwood)
19. Geelong
20. Fremantle (received from Brisbane Lions in Brandon Starcevich trade)
21. Essendon (Sam Draper compensation pick)
22. Hawthorn (received from Carlton in pick swap, Carlton received as Jack Silvagni compensation pick)
23. Brisbane Lions (received from West Coast Eagles in Brandon Starcevich trade, West Coast Eagles received in AFL assistance package)
ROUND 2
24. Gold Coast Suns (received from Melbourne in Christian Petracca trade, Melbourne received from Fremantle in Judd McVee trade, Fremantle received from West Coast Eagles in Brandon Starcevich trade)
25. North Melbourne (tied to Richmond)
26. North Melbourne
27. Essendon
28. Gold Coast Suns (received from Melbourne in Christian Petracca trade)
29. Gold Coast Suns (received from Port Adelaide in Ben Ainsworth-Corey Durdin trade)
30. Essendon (tied to St Kilda)
31. Sydney Swans (received from Carlton in Charlie Curnow trade, Carlton received from Hawthorn in pick swap, originally tied to Carlton)
32. Sydney Swans
33. Western Bulldogs
34. West Coast Eagles (received from Fremantle in Brandon Starcevich trade)
35. GWS Giants
36. Gold Coast Suns
37. Melbourne (received from Gold Coast Suns in Christian Petracca trade, Gold Coast Suns received from Western Bulldogs in Connor Budarick trade, Western Bulldogs received from GWS Giants in pick swap, originally tied to Adelaide Crows)
38. Richmond (received from West Coast Eagles in Tylar Young trade, originally tied to Hawthorn)
39. Collingwood
40. Geelong
41. West Coast Eagles (received from Carlton in Campbell Chesser trade, originally tied to Brisbane Lions)
42. Sydney Swans (received from Carlton in Charlie Curnow trade, Carlton received from Hawthorn in pick swap, Hawthorn received from Melbourne in Changkuoth Jiath trade, Melbourne received as Charlie Spargo compensation pick)
43. Carlton (received from Hawthorn in pick swap, Hawthorn received as James Worpel compensation pick)
ROUND 3
44. Brisbane Lions (tied to West Coast Eagles)
45. Collingwood (received from Brisbane Lions in pick swap, Brisbane Lions received from Fremantle in Brandon Starcevich trade, originally tied to Richmond)
46. North Melbourne
47. Fremantle (received from Brisbane Lions in Brandon Starcevich trade, originally tied to Essendon)
48. Adelaide Crows (tied to Melbourne)
49. Port Adelaide
50. St Kilda
51. Brisbane Lions (received from Fremantle in Brandon Starcevich trade, Fremantle received from Carlton in Liam Reidy trade)
52. Gold Coast Suns (received from Sydney Swans in Malcolm Rosas jnr trade)
53. Western Bulldogs (received from West Coast Eagles in pick swap, West Coast Eagles received from Brisbane Lions in Brandon Starcevich trade, originally tied to Western Bulldogs)
54. Carlton (received from Fremantle in Liam Reidy trade)
55. Adelaide Crows (tied to GWS Giants)
56. Collingwood (received from Brisbane Lions in pick swap, originally tied to Gold Coast Suns)
57. Brisbane Lions (received from Collingwood in pick swap)
58. Collingwood (received from Melbourne in Brody Mihocek trade, originally tied to Brisbane Lions)
ROUND 4
59. Hawthorn (tied to West Coast Eagles)
60. Sydney Swans (received from Gold Coast Suns in Malcolm Rosas jnr trade, originally tied to Richmond)
61. Adelaide Crows (received from North Melbourne in Finnbar Maley trade)
62. St Kilda (tied to Essendon)
63. Melbourne
64. Fremantle (received from Carlton in Liam Reidy trade)
65. Melbourne (received from Collingwood in Brody Mihocek trade, originally tied to Western Bulldogs)
66. Hawthorn
67. Collingwood
AFL DRAFT VALUE INDEX POINTS VALUES
1. 3000
2. 2481
3. 2178
4. 1962
5. 1795
6. 1659
7. 1543
8. 1443
9. 1355
10. 1276
11. 1205
12. 1140
13. 1080
14. 1024
15. 973
16. 924
17. 879
18. 836
19. 796
20. 757
21. 721
22. 686
23. 653
24. 621
25. 590
26. 561
27. 533
28. 505
29. 479
30. 454
31. 429
32. 405
33. 382
34. 360
35. 338
36. 317
37. 297
38. 277
39. 257
40. 238
41. 220
42. 202
43. 184
44. 167
45. 150
46. 134
47. 118
48. 102
49. 86
50. 71
51. 57
52. 42
53. 28
54. 14
55. –
56. –
57. –
58. –
59. –
60. –
61. –
62. –
63. –
64. –
65. –
66. –
67. –
68. –
69. –
70. –
71. –
72. –
73. –
74. –




