The WTA Hong Kong final is here. Cristina Bucsa has made her first final of 2025, and Mboko has reached her eighth. They met earlier this year at WTA Rome, and Mboko won in straight sets. As with other players in the Top 75 in the World, I provide a few different bets, so let me know in the comments if you agree with my picks. As always, thank you for reading.
WTA Tokyo final
Bucsa – Mboko: November 2nd, 2025 09:00
H2H: 0-1
Cristina Bucsa and Victoria Mboko will meet for the second time in their career, and this year. Their first match was a WTA Rome qualifier, which Mboko took in straight sets. This has been a rough year for the no. 68 player in the World. She’s 34-30 overall and 24-19 on a hardcourt. She’s even gone 2-6 on clay, which is her other strength. For whatever reason, Bucsa just hasn’t been able to put together a complete tournament.
Bucsa definitely benefited from Belinda Bencic’s withdrawal. She was able to push Maya Joint around, even though she was the underdog in the match. It’s hard to believe that Joint actually led 3-2 in the first set before Bucsa busted out a steamroller and took seven straight games. It wasn’t just that she won; it was how she won. She did so by controlling winners, unforced errors, and total points. If this version of Bucsa shows up against Mboko, the Spaniard may win her first title since 2023.
What have I said about Victoria Mboko that hasn’t already been said? She’s been absurdly dominant this year, winning six different titles, and now she’s one game away from a seventh. While this would only be her second WTA tournament title, it would provide continued proof that the sky is truly the limit for this Canadian. This would not have been an easy tournament, as she had to beat Leylah Fernandez, Anna Kalinskaya, Alexandra Eala, and Talia Gibson. It’s not the Murderer’s Row lineup from the 1927 New York Yankees, but it’s a damn impressive list of wins against great talent in the women’s division.
Mboko and Fernandez, along with Félix Auger-Aliassime and Denis Shapovalov, are the future of Canadian tennis. Mboko also has the opportunity to get her game back on track after faltering a bit post-WTA Montreal. WTA Hong Kong and WTA Tokyo represent a return to form for Mboko, who had lost four matches in a row heading into WTA Tokyo. She managed to reach the quarterfinals there, and now she’s a finalist here in Hong Kong.
Best Bets to Make
Main Bet
Mboko is the favorite in this match by about 2-1. The average sits at 2.86 to 1.42 for Mboko. If you’re going to take Mboko, then several bets may be worth your time. You could go with her straight up at 1.45 on bwin. I know it’s .05 lower than our preferred minimum, but it’s likely to come close to 1.5 as the match draws nearer. The smarter option is to take Mboko at 2:0 for 2.10 on Bet365. When you consider that taking the under on 2.5 sets only goes for 1.48, and you get .6 for free, essentially placing the same bet.
That being said, Mboko winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mboko winning 2:0 @2.1 @Bet365
Second Bet
The bet I would make is taking Bucsa at 3.04 on Betfair. If you think Bucsa is going to win, this is the bet to place. I feel like she’s playing tremendous tennis right now and has every chance in the world of winning her first tournament this year. She’s 6-4 in her last ten matches, just like Mboko. In fact, they’re both riding a four-game win streak, they both have one loss to a top player right before their win streak, and they both have a three-game losing streak at the start of their last ten matches, and then won two in a row before losing to the aforementioned top talent. In other words, they’re playing extremely similarly by the numbers. In fact, they also both enjoyed a free pass in the quarterfinals. The only thing that really separates them as of late is the fact that Mboko has three matches that went to a third set and Bucsa only had two.
That being said, Bucsa winning is a value bet.
Value bet/the best odds: Bucsa winning @3.04 @Betfair
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
