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Markets are subdued ahead of Nvidia’s results

Three years after ChatGPT’s debut, investors are increasingly uneasy that the AI boom has outrun fundamentals. Some business leaders have noted that circular deals – where one partner props up another’s revenue – add to the bubble risk.

Nivdia’s shares have seen supercharged growth in the past three years, advancing 1,200pc in that time. They have declined just over 4pc this week as investors fret about whether they are now trapped in a bubble that might burst.

During the third quarter of this year, a hedge fund controlled by billionaire Peter Thiel sold its entire stake in the chip maker.

“With every quarter that goes by, Nvidia earnings become more important in terms of clarification on where AI is moving and how much spending is being done,” said Brian Stutland, chief investment officer of Nvidia investor Equity Armor Investments.

By lunchtime in New York, markets there were treading water.

European and Asian markets have also been hit in recent days by the declines of their US counterparts.

It was much the same in Europe at the close, but with more green than red.

While the FTSE-100 had dipped slightly, Spain’s IBEX-35, France’s CAC-40 and Germany’s DAX had all edged higher by the end of the session.

In Ireland, the Iseq-20 advanced 1.35pc, outpacing gains in other European markets.

Ryanair was 3pc higher at €26.47, while AIB had added 1.8pc to hit €8.28.

Shares in Bank of Ireland rose 1pc to €15.04.

Irish Ferries owner Irish Continental Group led the fallers, sinking 2pc to €5.72.

UK inflation slowed for the first time in October since May, offering relief to the government before next week’s annual budget and boosting the chance of a rate cut by the Bank of England.

Markets are pricing in about 86pc odds of a quarter-point reduction in December.

“MPC officials will, of course, still be glued to the details of next week’s autumn budget, but assuming it’s as tax-heavy and unfriendly to growth as we expect, a December rate cut seems to be a fairly safe bet,” said Matthew Ryan, head of market strategy at global financial services firm Ebury.

European aerospace and defence stocks fell more than 3pc at one stage today on signs of a fresh US-led push to end the Russia-Ukraine war, which also lifted Ukraine’s government bonds.

The eurozone’s current account surplus widened a touch in September as the goods surplus increased, offsetting a modest drop in the trade of services, data from the European Central Bank showed.

The adjusted current account surplus of the 20 nations sharing the euro rose to €23.1bn in September from €22.2bn a month earlier while the unadjusted data showed an increase to €38.1bn from €22.3bn. In the 12 months to September, the surplus equalled 2pc of the bloc’s GDP, down from 2.7pc in the preceding 12 months.

Additional reporting: Reuters

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