2025 Rolex Paris Masters: Norrie [35th] vs. Baez [43rd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

Cameron Norrie (No. 31 ranking) will face Sebastian Baez (No. 43) in the of the Rolex Paris Masters on Monday, October 27.

Norrie is favored over Baez in this match, with -500 odds compared to the underdog’s +340 in the .

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Cameron Norrie vs. Sebastian Baez matchup info

• Tournament: Rolex Paris Masters
• Round:
• Date: Monday, October 27
• Court Surface: Hard

Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo!

Norrie vs. Baez Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Norrie has an 83.3% to win.

Norrie vs. Baez Betting Odds

• Norrie’s odds to win match: -500
• Baez’s odds to win match: +340

Norrie vs. Baez matchup performance & stats

• Norrie is 11-15 on hard courts this year.
• Norrie has a 74.9% winning percentage in service games while playing on hard courts, and a 22.1% winning percentage in return games (254 of 339 service games, and 78 of 353 return games).
• Norrie’s 57 break points won on 167 total break points on hard courts (34.1% winning percentage) ranks 62nd.
• In his previous tournament (the Erste Bank Open), Norrie was defeated by Matteo Berrettini 6-7, 7-6, 4-6 on October 23, in the Round of 16.
• The 24-year-old Baez, who is seeking his first tournament victory on a hard court in 2025, is 3-10 this year on that surface.
• Baez has won 64.1% of his service games on hard courts, and 25.8% of his return games.
• Baez has converted 37 of 82 break points on hard courts (45.1%), and is 103rd in break points won.
• On October 21, Baez lost to No. 62-ranked Reilly Opelka, 3-6, 4-6, in the Round of 32 of his last tournament, the Swiss Indoors Basel.