2025 Erste Bank Open: de Minaur [7th] vs. Rodionov [155th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Monday, Jurij Rodionov (No. 154 in the world) faces Alex de Minaur (No. 7) in the Round of 32 at the Erste Bank Open.

de Minaur is the favorite (-2500) in this match against the underdog Rodionov (+875).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 10:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Alex de Minaur vs. Jurij Rodionov matchup info

• Tournament: Erste Bank Open
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Monday, October 20
• Court Surface: Hard

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de Minaur vs. Rodionov Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, de Minaur has a 96.2% to win.

de Minaur vs. Rodionov Betting Odds

• de Minaur’s odds to win match: -2500
• Rodionov’s odds to win match: +875
• de Minaur’s odds to win tournament: +800
• Rodionov’s odds to win tournament: +20000

de Minaur vs. Rodionov matchup performance & stats

• On hard courts over the past year, de Minaur has won one tournament, and his match record is 38-16.
• In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past year, de Minaur has won 81.9% of his games on serve and 29.3% on return.
• Including hard courts only, de Minaur has converted 42.3% of his break-point chances (165 of 390) over the past 12 months.
• de Minaur was eliminated in the quarterfinals of his most recent tournament (the Rolex Shanghai Masters) 4-6, 4-6 by No. 18-ranked Daniil Medvedev on October 10.
• Rodionov has posted a 0-3 record in three tournaments on hard courts over the past year.
• Rodionov is 30-for-43 in service games on hard courts (69.8%) and 6-for-39 in return games (15.4%).
• On hard courts Rodionov is 6-for-17 on break points, 35.3%, to rank 245th.
• In the Qualification Round 1 of his most recent tournament (the European Open) on October 12, Rodionov was eliminated by No. 142-ranked Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-7, 4-6.