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2025 Rolex Paris Masters: Shelton [7th] vs. Rublev [17th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In a match slated for Thursday, Andrey Rublev (No. 17 in rankings) will take on Ben Shelton (No. 7) in the Round of 16 at the Rolex Paris Masters.

Shelton has -145 odds to earn a spot in the quarterfinals over Rublev (+110).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Ben Shelton vs. Andrey Rublev matchup info

  • Tournament: Rolex Paris Masters
  • Round: Round of 16
  • Date: Thursday, October 30
  • Court Surface: Hard

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Shelton vs. Rublev Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Shelton has a 59.2% to win.

Shelton vs. Rublev Betting Odds

  • Shelton’s odds to win match: -145
  • Rublev’s odds to win match: +110
  • Shelton’s odds to win tournament: +750
  • Rublev’s odds to win tournament: +1200

Shelton vs. Rublev matchup performance & stats

  • Shelton is 26-11 on hard courts, with one tournament title.
  • Shelton is 414-for-481 in service games on hard courts (to compile a winning percentage of 86.1%) and 106-for-483 in return games (21.9%).
  • On hard courts so far this year, Shelton is 84-for-213 on break points (39.4%) which ranks 23rd.
  • In his previous tournament, the Swiss Indoors Basel, Shelton fell in the Round of 16 to No. 42-ranked Jaume Munar, 3-6, 4-6 on October 23.
  • Rublev is 20-15 through 16 tournaments on hard courts this year.
  • In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts, Rublev has won 80.5% of his games on serve, and 22.1% on return.
  • Rublev has converted 84 of 239 break points on hard courts (35.1%), and is 23rd in break points won.
  • In the Round of 32 of his most recent tournament (the Erste Bank Open) on October 21, Rublev was taken down by No. 35-ranked Cameron Norrie 2-6, 7-6, 2-6.

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