Spurs vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks – Oct. 30

Data Skrive
Two hot squads hit the court when the San Antonio Spurs (4-0) host the Miami Heat (3-1) on October 30, 2025. The Spurs are putting their four-game winning streak on the line versus the Heat, winners of three in a row. The Spurs are currently 6-point favorites over the Heat. The matchup’s over/under is 228.5.
Check out everything you need to know to know about the Spurs-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Spurs vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Thursday, October 30, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas
- TV: FDSSUN and FDSSW
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Spurs vs Heat Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Spurs -6 -110 -110 228.5 -114 -106 -240 +198
Spurs vs. Heat Prediction
ATS Pick: Heat (+ 6)
O/U Pick: Over (228.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 121 – Spurs 116
Spurs vs. Heat Betting Insights
- Spurs games last season featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 228.5 points 43 times.
- The Heat and their opponents combined to score more than 228.5 points in 31 of 82 games last season.
- The teams combined to score 224.5 points per contest last season, 4.0 fewer points than this game’s point total.
- These two teams gave up a combined 226.7 points per game last year, 1.8 fewer points than the total for this contest.
- The Spurs had an average point total of 228.5 in their matchups last season, 0.0 more points than the over/under for this game.
- The average over/under for Heat contests last year was 218.8, 9.7 fewer points than this game’s total.
Spurs Recent Trends
- San Antonio went 39-43-0 ATS last season.
- San Antonio was 4-6 ATS last season when playing as at least a 6-point favorite.
- San Antonio and its opponent combined to go over the point total 46 out of 82 times last season.
- Last year, the 113.9 points per game the Spurs recorded were only 3.9 more points than the Heat allowed (110.0).
- When San Antonio put up more than 110.0 points last season, it went 30-17 against the spread and 29-18 overall.
- Last season, the Spurs had a 46.5% shooting percentage from the field, which was 0.1% lower than the 46.6% of shots the Heat’s opponents made.
- When playing at home last season, the Spurs owned a better record against the spread (21-20-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (18-23-0).
- San Antonio eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of home games (58.5%) than road games (53.7%) last year.
- The Spurs won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home last season, going 11-5 (.688). On the road as a moneyline favorite, they owned a record of 6-2 (.750).
Spurs Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 113.9 16 Points Allowed 116.7 23 Rebounds 43.7 18 Assists 28.6 6 Steals 8.2 12 Blocks 5.5 4
Spurs Leaders
- De’Aaron Fox posted 23.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists last season.
- Victor Wembanyama put up 24.3 points, 11.0 rebounds and 3.7 assists. He made 47.6% of his shots from the field and 35.2% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 treys per game.
- Stephon Castle collected 14.7 points, 3.7 boards and 4.1 assists. He also made 42.8% of his shots from the floor and 28.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 treys per game.
- Devin Vassell averaged 16.3 points, 4.0 boards and 2.9 assists per game, plus 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- Keldon Johnson’s stats last season included 12.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He drained 48.2% of his shots from the field and 31.8% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.1 triples.
Spurs Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Victor Wembanyama 28.5 -106 31.0 Stephon Castle 17.5 -110 18.3 Devin Vassell 16.5 -114 16.8 Dylan Harper 14.5 +102 14.8 Keldon Johnson 11.5 -114 12.0
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat covered 38 times in 82 matchups with a spread last year.
- As a 6-point underdog or more, Miami went 6-8-1 against the spread last season.
- Heat games hit the over 44 out of 82 times last season.
- The Heat’s 110.6 points per game last year were 6.1 fewer points than the 116.7 the Spurs gave up to opponents.
- When it scored more than 116.7 points last season, Miami went 20-7 against the spread and 21-6 overall.
- The Heat’s 46.5% shooting percentage from the field last season was 0.9 percentage points lower than the Spurs allowed to their opponents (47.4%).
- The Heat were better against the spread at home (21-19-1) than on the road (17-22-2) last year.
- In terms of the over/under, Miami’s games went over 25 of 41 times at home (61%) last year, and 19 of 41 away (46.3%).
- Last season the Heat went 15-11 at home when moneyline favorites (.577 winning percentage). On the road they went 12-9 (.571).
Heat Recent Stats
Stat Average Rank Points Scored 110.6 24 Points Allowed 110.0 7 Rebounds 43.4 21 Assists 26.4 14 Steals 8.1 15 Blocks 3.8 30
Heat Leaders
- Tyler Herro scored 23.9 points and distributed 5.5 assists per game last season.
- Bam Adebayo averaged 9.6 boards per game in addition to his 18.1 PPG average.
- Herro hit an average of 3.3 shots per game from beyond the arc a season ago.
- Adebayo averaged 1.3 steals per game, while Kel’el Ware notched 1.1 blocks per contest.
Heat Player Props
Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Bam Adebayo 21.5 -108 21.0 Andrew Wiggins 17.5 -106 14.5 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15.5 -112 18.8 Davion Mitchell 10.5 -114 8.8 Kel’el Ware 10.5 -122 11.3
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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