The Miami Heat (4-3) and Denver Nuggets (4-2) meet Wednesday at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Nuggets swept 2-0 last season
Miami snapped a 2-game losing streak Monday with a 120-119 win over the LA Clippers, covering as a 7.5-point road favorite with the Over (227) hitting. C Bam Adebayo recorded a double-double with a team-high 25 points and 10 rebounds, while the Heat shot 54.2% from the field, including 48% from 3.
Denver returned to the win column Monday with a 130-124 victory over the Sacramento Kings, failing to cover as an 11.5-point home favorite with the Over (237) hitting. C Nikola Jokic scored a game-high 34 points with 14 assists and 7 rebounds. All 5 Nuggets starters scored in double figures.
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Heat at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +325 (bet $100 to win $325) | Nuggets -425 (bet $425 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +9.5 (-110) | Nuggets -9.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 241.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Nuggets key injuries
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (ankle) out
- G Terry Rozier (not with team) out
Nuggets
- G Jamal Murray (calf) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 127, Heat 120
PASS.
There is no value on the Nuggets (-425), who are undefeated at home this season and fully healthy.
BET HEAT +9.5 (-110).
The Heat have a 5-2 ATS record this season, covering in 3 of their 5 games on the road and 4 of their 6 games as underdogs. They have scored at least 120 points in 3 of their last 4 games, which would likely be enough to cover a large spread.
The Nuggets are just 3-4 ATS this season and have failed to cover the spread in back-to-back games. While they excel on defense, the Heat are full of marksmen who will keep this game close enough to cover.
BET OVER 241.5 (-110).
Both the Heat and Nuggets are coming off outstanding offensive performances, with each team shooting better than 50% from the floor.
The Heat have hit the Over in 3 of their last 4 games and have scored at least 120 points in 5 of their 7 games this season, averaging 123.9 points per game. They have allowed 117 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games overall.
The Nuggets have scored 122 or more points in 5 of their last 6 games and have hit the Over in 4 of their 6 contests, averaging 125 points per game. They have allowed at least 114 points in 2 of their last 4 games and in 3 of their 6 games this season.
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