Kennesaw St vs New Mexico St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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Kennesaw St vs New Mexico St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

Kennesaw St is a -9.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico St
Kennesaw State vs. New Mexico State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

Kennesaw State (6-2) visit Aggie Memorial Stadium to take on New Mexico State (3-5) on Nov. 8 in Las Cruces, NM. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

Kennesaw St is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Kennesaw State vs. New Mexico State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on New Mexico St vs Kennesaw St & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Kennesaw State vs. New Mexico State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)MoneylineKennesaw State-9.5 -11052.5 -115-350New Mexico State +9.5 -11052.5 -105280

Kennesaw State vs New Mexico State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kennesaw State will win this game with 71.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Kennesaw St and New Mexico St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kennesaw State vs New Mexico State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on New Mexico St vs Kennesaw St and all games with BetMGM

Kennesaw State Best Bets Today

Kennesaw State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Kennesaw State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Kennesaw State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Kennesaw State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Kennesaw State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.31 Units / 24% ROI)

New Mexico State Best Bets Today

New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 29% ROI)
New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.90 Units / 13% ROI)
New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 22% ROI)

Kennesaw State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kennesaw St is 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 42.94% ROI).

Kennesaw State is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 25.06% ROI
Kennesaw State is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -39.77% ROI
Kennesaw State is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI

New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico St iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

New Mexico State is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -9.71% ROI
New Mexico State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
New Mexico State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State

Kennesaw State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (156 Rec/6 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

Kennesaw State WRs averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (3 yards/1 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5

Kennesaw State has 278 receptions in 19 games (just 14.6 per game) since the 2024 season — T-11th-worst among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 19.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Kennesaw State RBs averaged 8.1 Yards per Carry (114 yards/14 carries) in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Kennesaw State Skill Players averaged just 5.5 yards per reception (44 yards/8 catches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State

New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .406

New Mexico State is 1-4 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397

New Mexico State is 1-9 (.091) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .415

Matchup Notes for Kennesaw State vs. New Mexico State