2025 Nitto ATP Finals: Musetti [9th] vs. Fritz [6th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Round Robin at the Nitto ATP Finals on Monday, Lorenzo Musetti (ranked No. 9) meets Taylor Fritz (No. 6).

Fritz is favored over Musetti in this match, with -235 odds against the underdog’s +180 in the Round Robin.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Taylor Fritz matchup info

• Tournament: Nitto ATP Finals
• Round: Round Robin
• Date: Monday, November 10
• Court Surface: Hard

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Musetti vs. Fritz Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Musetti has a 70.1% to win.

Musetti vs. Fritz Betting Odds

• Musetti’s odds to win match: +180
• Fritz’s odds to win match: -235

Musetti vs. Fritz matchup performance & stats

• Musetti is 24-14 on hard courts in 2025.
• Musetti has gone 407-for-504 in service games on hard courts (80.8% winning percentage), and 131-for-492 in return games (26.6%).
• On hard courts, Musetti is ninth in break point winning percentage (38.9%) after going 116-for-298.
• In his most recent tournament, the Belgrade Open, Musetti fell in the final to No. 5-ranked Novak Djokovic, 6-4, 3-6, 5-7 on November 8.
• Fritz hasn’t won any of his 13 tournaments on hard courts so far this year, posting a 29-13 match record on that surface.
• On hard courts, Fritz has won 85.1% of his service games and 24.3% of his return games.
• Including hard courts only, Fritz has converted 38.6% of his break-point opportunities (107 of 277).
• On October 30, Fritz lost to No. 16-ranked Alexander Bublik, 6-7, 2-6, in the Round of 16 of his last tournament, the Rolex Paris Masters.