Nice vs Marseille: Dominant Marseille favored with 2.3 goals per game vs struggling Nice

Marseille heads to Nice on Friday, Nov. 21 as a dominant favorite. The match kicks off at 7:45 PM UTC at the Allianz Riviera. Marseille averages 2.3 goals per game this season. Nice has been struggling offensively.
🔥 Quick Facts:
- Marseille sits second in Ligue 1 with 17 points from 12 matches
- Nice averages just 1.4 goals per match this season
- Bookmakers favor Marseille at odds of 1.9
- Mason Greenwood is Marseille’s top threat with 9 goals so far
- In last 5 meetings, Nice won 3 but Marseille won 1
What’s Happening Here
This is massive for Marseille’s title push. They’re hunting down PSG at the top. Plus, Marseille haven’t lost away from home recently. And here’s the thing—Nice is really struggling to score. They’ve dropped way down the table.
But don’t sleep on Nice. They crushed Lyon 3-2 at home just weeks ago. Thing is, that was their exception. Most matches at Allianz Riviera haven’t gone their way. Nice sits fourth with 5 wins and 12 matches played.
The Statistical Breakdown
Let’s dig into the numbers. Marseille dominates possession and finishing. Their away record shows 3 consecutive wins. But Nice at home? They’re 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in their last six.
Statistic
Marseille
Nice
Goals Per Match
2.3
1.4
Home Record (Last 5)
N/A
4-1-1
Away Record (Last 5)
3 Wins
1 Win
Head-to-Head (Last 5)
1W-1D-0L
3W-1D-0L
Shots On Goal (Avg)
5.8
Lower
The data is striking. Marseille creates way more chances. Nice sits below them in goal-scoring efficiency. And Marseille hasn’t looked vulnerable away.
The Key Battleground
Mason Greenwood is Marseille’s weapon. He scored 4 goals in one game vs Le Havre. Plus, he won Ligue 1 Player of the Month recently. Nice don’t have a scorer with that kind of pedigree.
Then there’s the mental side. Marseille are chasing trophies. Nice? They need momentum. Plus, Nice lost 2-1 to Metz and 1-0 to PSG recently. Those defeats sting.
What To Watch For
- Greenwood getting dangerous chances—he’ll finish them
- Whether Nice can stay compact defensively
- The midfield battle—who controls possession?
- Marseille‘s away form holding up under pressure
- Set pieces—both teams need these when flowing play stalls
Can Nice Pull Off A Shock?
Home advantage counts. And Nice won their last two meetings at Allianz Riviera. That’s real. But Marseille right now? They’re clicking. The odds say Marseille at 1.9, while Nice hover around 11/4. That reflects how one-sided experts view this.
Still, Under 3.5 goals is trendy with analysts. Nice‘s defense has tightened lately. Plus, both teams showed they can grind it out. Will we see an attacking clinic? Or a tactical chess match? That’s the real question Friday night.
Sources
- Sportskeeda – Nice vs Marseille prediction and betting tips
- Bet Freed – Ligue 1 match preview with odds
- Sports Gambler – Marseille team statistics and form
Michael Brown is a seasoned sports journalist bringing years of experience covering professional athletics and sporting culture. With a keen eye for breaking stories and player dynamics, this veteran journalist delivers in-depth analysis and exclusive insights from the world’s biggest sporting events. His passion for the game shines through in every story, keeping fans connected to the action both on and off the field.




