UFC Fight Night 265: Volkan Oezdemir vs. Alonzo Menifield Prediction for Saturday, 11/22/25

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 265 will see Volkan Oezdemir take on Alonzo Menifield. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Oezdemir enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-8 and 8-7 in the UFC. He averages 4.95 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Oezdemir absorbs 4.22 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. He also has decent grappling, averaging 0.50 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 29% and his takedown defense is 80%.

Menifield enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-5-1 and 12-5-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.79 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. Menifield absorbs 3.76 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. His grappling has also been decent, averaging 0.50 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 31% and a takedown defense of 78%.

Oezdemir is the heavy favorite; however, Menifield looks to be a decent upset pick. Menefield has been in better form recently, going 4-2 in his last 6 UFC fights, while Oezdemir has gone 3-3 over the same stretch. Menifield’s striking volume does not quite stack up to Oezdemir’s, but he absorbs much less damage. Therefore, because Menifield has been in better form, backing him to win will be our play.