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Iran vs Iraq: Analysis and Prediction – Nov. 27, 2025

Iran vs Iraq: Analysis and Prediction – Iran will play Iraq in round 1 of the FIBA World Cup Asian qualifiers at the Nouhad Nawfal Sports Complex in Lebanon. 

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Iran vs Iraq Preview

As the bronze-medal winners from the FIBA Asia Cup this summer, Iran are the strongest team in group C of these World Cup qualifiers. Even though they have no naturalized players, they possess the strongest roster and they will be even stronger for this opening qualifying window compared to their Asia Cup squad. Iran are led by their veteran scorers and pillars Mohammad Amini, Arsalan Kazemi and Sina Vahedi, who are supported by a very good and deep bench. The new addition compared to the Asia Cup is the prolific scorer from the German top division Behnam Yakhchali, who will add even more firepower and should carry his national team to victory in this qualifying opener. 

While we are writing this preview, the odds still haven´t been published. This match will be played in Lebanon at a neutral ground, so nobody has the home court advantage. Overall, Iran are better and have a better rotation, so they should be opened as the favourites and should be able to come away victorious. 

Iraq have always been an interesting team in Asia. They had a solid showing in the FIBA Asia Cup during the summer despite losing all three matches in the group, but it was a success that they managed to qualify for the competition. For this opening qualifying window, their federation decided to make a radical move and switched the naturalized players. For a very long period of time, Iraq were led by their American import DeMario Mayfield, but he is no longer in the roster as he has been replaced by a new American Ramon Galloway. As far as the domestic contingent is concerned, all the biggest names will be present led by the towering center Ihab Al-Zuhairi. 

DeMario Mayfield was the cornerstone of Iraqi national team for many years, so it will be very interesting to see how the squad will react with a new import. This is a huge derby, but we doubt that Iraq can keep it close against their neighbours, so we are expecting a double-digit victory for Iran. 

Iran vs Iraq H2H

These teams met three times in their history with Iran winning twice and Iraq winning once. 

Injuries and Suspensions

Both teams have their strongest rosters available. 

Where to Watch Iran vs Iraq?

Iran vs Iraq Best Betting Tip and Prediction

Iran are the better team with more quality and depth. Iraq can maybe keep it tight for three quarters, but eventually Iran should pull away and assert themselves with a dominant win to kick off the qualifiers. 

Tip-off Time: Thursday, 27.11.2025, 15:00 CET
Prediction: Iran -19.5
Odds: 1.73
Stake: 1 unit
Sportsbook: BetLabel

*Odds are active at the time the article is published

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