The Denver Nuggets (15-6) and Atlanta Hawks (13-10) meet Friday at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Nuggets vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Nuggets swept 2-0
The Nuggets beat the Indiana Pacers 135-120 Wednesday, covering as an 8-point road favorite with the Over (237.5) cashing. G Jamal Murray went parabolic, scoring 52 points on 19-for-25 shooting and making 10 3-pointers. Denver has traded off winning and losing over its past 7 games, covering in each win and failing to cover in each loss. It is 13-8 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
The Hawks lost to the LA Clippers 115-92 Wednesday. They failed to cover as a 2-point home favorite and the Under (225.5) hit. G Nickeil Alexander-Walker scored a team-high 21 points and was the lone Atlanta player to top 15. The Hawks have gone 4-3 straight up and ATS over their last 7 contests. They are 12-11 ATS on the season.
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Nuggets at Hawks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:09 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -235 (bet $235 to win $100) | Hawks +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
- Against the spread: Nuggets -6.5 (-105) | Hawks +6.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 238.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Nuggets at Hawks key injuries
Nuggets
- G Christian Braun (ankle) out
- F Aaron Gordon (hamstring) out
Hawks
- F Jalen Johnson (calf) questionable
- C Kristaps Porzingis (reconditioning) questionable
- G Trae Young (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Hawks picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 125, Hawks 115
PASS.
There’s no playable wager here. The Hawks (+195) will be short many key weapons and aren’t worth taking to pull off the upset.
BET NUGGETS -6.5 (-105).
The Nuggets have struggled to cover at home, but they have been on fire on the road. They have covered in 4 straight road games, closing as a favorite in 3 of those contests. Denver’s offense has been on a tear, scoring at least 130 points in 3 of its last 4 games, so it should put up enough points to separate itself here.
The Hawks are just 1-3 ATS in their last 4 home games, and their offense has hit a wall, especially with Johnson questionable and Porzingis out. They have scored 98 or fewer points in 2 straight games. Considering those trends, back NUGGETS -6.5 (-105).
BET OVER 238.5 (-110).
The Nuggets have gone Over in 6 straight games, scoring at least 121 points in each of those outings and topping 135 twice in that span. Their defense has helped that trend along, allowing at least 120 points in 4 of those games.
While the Hawks’ offense has struggled in the last couple of games, it has scored at least 113 points in 6 of its last 8. The Hawks are 8-4 O/U over their last 12 contests. Atlanta ranks ninth in pace as well, so it may look to push the tempo in this one and help the No. 1-ranked Denver offense generate more opportunities.
Take OVER 238.5 (-110).
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