Chiefs vs. Texans 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks – Dec 7

Data Skrive
The Houston Texans (7-5) will be trying to extend a four-game winning streak against the Kansas City Chiefs (6-6). Despite that, the Chiefs are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The predicted point total for the game is 41.5.
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Chiefs vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines
Chiefs vs Texans Betting Information updated as of December 7, 2025, 6:33 a.m. ET. Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Chiefs -3.5 -110 -110 41.5 -112 -108
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Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Texans (+3.5)
- Pick OU: Over (41.5)
- Prediction: Texans 22 – Chiefs 19
How to Watch Kansas City vs. Houston
- Game date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Location: Kansas City, Missouri
- TV: NBC/Peacock
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Chiefs vs. Texans Recent Matchups
- Over their last five meetings, Kansas City has tallied four wins versus Houston.
- In their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has tallied 155 points against Houston, while surrendering only 119 points.
Kansas City Betting Info
- Kansas City is 5-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The Chiefs have covered the spread three times this season (3-5 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
- Kansas City has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 33.3% of its contests this year (four times over 12 games with a set point total).
- The Chiefs have won 50% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (5-5).
- The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Chiefs a 66.4% chance to win.
Chiefs Stats
Stat Average (Total) Rank Pass yards 256.5 (3,078) 2 Rush yards 118.3 (1,420) 15 Points scored 25.4 (305) 10 Pass yards against 205.8 (2,469) 12 Rush yards against 100.9 (1,211) 9 Points allowed 19.3 (232) 7
Kansas City’s Key Players
Offense
- Patrick Mahomes has 3,238 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), 22 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 64.6% of his passes, averaging 269.8 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
- To go along with his passing statistics, Mahomes also has 348 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs), with four rushing touchdowns.
- Kareem Hunt has totaled 515 rushing yards with seven touchdowns (42.9 yards per game over 12 games). His 4 yards per attempt rank 29th in the league.
- Hunt has 14 receptions on 18 targets for 114 yards. He has one receiving TD.
- In the passing attack, Travis Kelce, has totaled 719 receiving yards and five touchdowns after grabbing 59 balls on 78 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 59.9 yards and 4.9 receptions in 12 games.
- Rashee Rice has 42 catches for 486 yards and five touchdowns. He’s been targeted 59 times in the air attack, and averages seven receptions and 81 yards in six games played.
Defense
- On the defensive side, Nick Bolton has 100 tackles and five TFL in 2025. His tackle total leads the Chiefs and is 10th in the NFL.
- Chamarri Conner has one sack as well as two TFL and 80 tackles.
- George Karlaftis III has collected 36 tackles, eight TFL, and five sacks this year.
- Trent McDuffie has one interception while adding 62 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended.
Houston Betting Info
- Houston has put together a record of 6-6-0 against the spread this year.
- This year, the Texans have one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
- This season, three Houston games have gone over the point total.
- This season, the Texans have been the underdog six times and won three of those games.
- The implied probability of a win by the Texans based on the moneyline is 37.9%.
Texans Stats
Stat Average (Total) Rank Pass yards 219.1 (2,629) 16 Rush yards 107.7 (1,292) 23 Points scored 21.9 (263) 22 Pass yards against 174.0 (2,088) 4 Rush yards against 91.7 (1,100) 4 Points allowed 16.5 (198) 1
Houston’s Key Players
Offense
- C.J. Stroud is averaging 7.1 passing yards per attempt (18th in the NFL) and 219.8 yards per game this year, completing 66.1% of his passes on the way to 1,978 total yards, 11 touchdowns and six interceptions through nine games.
- He’s added 189 yards on the ground (third on the Texans), while scoring zero rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 21 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt.
- Nico Collins has 795 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 57 receptions, while being targeted 95 times.
- Woody Marks is averaging 40.5 rushing yards per game this season (486 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
- Marks’ offensive output includes 18 receptions (1.5 per game) on 27 targets for 188 yards (15.7 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
- Nick Chubb has 469 rushing yards (second on the Texans) and three rushing touchdowns, while averaging 39.1 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (27th in the NFL).
Defense
- So far in 2025, Will Anderson Jr. has 40 tackles, 15 TFL, and 10.5 sacks over 12 games.
- Danielle Hunter has 11 sacks (first on the Texans and fourth in the NFL) to go with 11 TFL and 38 tackles.
- Kamari Lassiter has seven TFL, 66 tackles, and two interceptions.
- Azeez Al-Shaair’s season stats include 79 tackles and one TFL in 12 games. He leads the Texans in tackles.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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