The Miami Heat (15-12) and Boston Celtics (15-11) meet Friday at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Celtics odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Celtics won 3-1
The Heat snapped a 5-game losing streak Thursday, beating the Brooklyn Nets 106-95. They failed to cover as an 11.5-point road favorite and the Under (236) hit. G Norman Powell scored a team-high 24 points in the win. Miami has gone just 2-8 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games and is 14-13 ATS on the season.
The Celtics lost to the Detroit Pistons 112-105 Monday, failing to cover as a 1-point home favorite with the Under (231.5) cashing. They were led by F Jaylen Brown, who scored 34 points on 13-for-25 shooting. Boston, despite having lost 2 straight games, is 5-2 in its last 7 contests and 8-2 ATS across its last 10. It is 14-12 ATS on the season.
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Heat at Celtics odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Celtics -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Heat +6.5 (-110) | Celtics -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Celtics key injuries
Heat
(Not yet submitted — below was for Thursday’s game)
- G Tyler Herro (toe) out
- F Nikola Jovic (elbow) out
- F Pelle Larsson (ankle) out
Celtics
- F Sam Hauser (ankle) probable
- F Jayson Tatum (Achilles) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Celtics picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 121, Heat 113
PASS.
There’s no great value here. At home, the Celtics (-275) should win, but they are too pricey to consider.
BET CELTICS -6.5 (-110).
The Celtics are the far more rested side, having not played since Monday. They are also surging at home, having won 4 of their last 5 home games and covering in 4 of those as well. Boston is 4-2 ATS in its previous 6 contests as a favorite.
The Heat have hit a wall, despite beating the Nets Thursday. They are 2-6 over their last 8 performances and 6-7 ATS on the road this season. Considering those trends, back CELTICS -6.5 (-110).
BET OVER 231.5 (-110).
This will be a clash of styles, with the Heat ranking first and the Celtics last in pace. Boston sits fourth in offensive rating, so if it is sped up, its efficient offense should generate more points.
The Celtics have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 games as well, scoring at least 121 points in 4 of those contests. The Heat are 7-6 O/U on the road. Take OVER 231.5 (-110).
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