The Cal Poly Mustangs (5-7) and UCLA Bruins (8-3) meet Friday at Pauley Pavilion in Los Angeles, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (BTN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NCAA basketball odds around the Cal Poly vs. UCLA odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
UCLA leads the all-time series 6-1. It’s the first visit for Cal Poly to Westwood since Nov. 15, 2015, a narrow 88-83 win by UCLA. The Mustangs earned their only win in school history against a ranked Division I opponent against UCLA, stunning the then-No. 11 Bruins 70-68 on Nov. 25, 2012.
Cal Poly ranks 11th among 361 Division teams with 130 3-pointers, which checking in at 21st with 30.3 attempts from behind the arc, and 28th with 10.8 made triples per outing. G Hamad Mousa leads the Big West Conference with 20.1 points per game (PPG) through 11 appearances. The Mustangs are just 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 games, while the Over is 7-1 across the previous 8 outings.
UCLA topped Arizona State 90-77 in a Pac-12 reunion game last time out on Wednesday. The Bruins covered as 10-point favorites, as G Donovan Dent led the way with 20 points, while F Tyler Bilodeau and G Skyy Clark chipped in with 18 points. Clark had 6 triples on 10 attempts while adding 2 steals.
UCLA is 2-0-1 ATS in the past 3 games and the Over is 5-1 across the previous 6 outings.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
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Cal Poly at UCLA odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cal Poly +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000) | UCLA -10000 (Bet $10,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Cal Poly +24.5 (-105) | UCLA -24.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Cal Poly at UCLA picks and predictions
Prediction
UCLA 93, Cal Poly 69
PASS.
Nothing to see here — move along.
CAL POLY +24.5 (-110) is a solid play, as the Mustangs are a streaky 3-point shooting team capable of hanging there.
Yes, the Mustangs are 2 games under .500, but they’ve scored 80 or more points in 8 of their 12 games, including a 92-85 outright win at Utah on Nov. 20 as a 14-point underdog, and a 73-71 win on Nov. 8 at Seattle as a 10-point dog. Cal Poly won’t be fazed at Pauley. In fact, Cal Poly is 3-1 ATS as a double-digit dog, with the 2 outright wins.
UCLA is 2-3 ATS this season in games as a favorite of 24.5 or more points.
OVER 160.5 (-110) is a rather low number given the offense on both ends.
The Over is 5-1 in the past 6 games for UCLA and the Bruins just dropped 90 points on Maui Invitational runner-up Arizona State, who is no slouch.
Cal Poly has scored 80 or more points in 4 in a row and has 79+ points in 8 of the past 9 outings, going high at a 7-1 clip in the previous 8 contests.
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