2025 Merida Open Akron: Sevastova [208th] vs. Joint [32nd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Round of 32 at the Merida Open Akron on Monday, Maya Joint (ranked No. 32) takes on Anastasija Sevastova (No. 208).

Joint is favored (-275) to get to the Round of 16 compared to the underdog Sevastova (+210).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 10:35 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Anastasija Sevastova vs. Maya Joint matchup info

• Tournament: Merida Open Akron
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Monday, October 27
• Court Surface: Hard

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Sevastova vs. Joint Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Sevastova has a 73.3% to win.

Sevastova vs. Joint Betting Odds

• Sevastova’s odds to win match: +210
• Joint’s odds to win match: -275

Sevastova vs. Joint matchup performance & stats

• In four hard-court tournaments over the past 12 months, Sevastova is 5-4 in matches.
• Sevastova has won 29.8% of her return games on hard courts over the past 12 months, and 67.6% of her service games.
• Sevastova is 174th in break points won on hard courts over the past year, converting 29 of 77 (37.7%).
• In the the China Open, Sevastova’s most recent tournament, she was defeated 1-6, 3-6 by No. 8-ranked Jasmine Paolini on September 26 in the Round of 64.
• Joint has failed to win a title on hard courts over the past 12 months, putting up a 25-18 match record on that surface.
• When playing on hard surfaces, Joint has a 63.2% winning percentage in service games and a 41.9% winning percentage in return games.
• On hard courts Joint has won 47.6% of break points (178 out of 374) which ranks seventh.
• In the Round of 16 of her most recent tournament (the Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis) on October 22, Joint was defeated by No. 21-ranked Karolina Muchova 3-6, 5-7.