2025 Rolex Paris Masters: Fearnley [78th] vs. Rublev [17th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Monday, Andrey Rublev (No. 17 in the world) meets Jacob Fearnley (No. 78) in the Round of 64 at the Rolex Paris Masters.

Rublev has -155 odds to earn a spot in the Round of 32 with a win over Fearnley (+120).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Jacob Fearnley vs. Andrey Rublev matchup info

• Tournament: Rolex Paris Masters
• Round: Round of 64
• Date: Monday, October 27
• Court Surface: Hard

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Fearnley vs. Rublev Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Fearnley has a 60.8% to win.

Fearnley vs. Rublev Betting Odds

• Fearnley’s odds to win match: +120
• Rublev’s odds to win match: -155

Fearnley vs. Rublev matchup performance & stats

• Fearnley is 9-9 on hard courts this year.
• Fearnley is 169-for-225 in service games on hard courts (winning percentage of 75.1%) and 61-for-241 in return games (25.3%).
• On hard courts, Fearnley has won 43.0% of break points (43 out of 100, which ranks 94th).
• Fearnley was defeated in the Round of 32 of his previous tournament (the Erste Bank Open) 4-6, 6-1, 6-7 by No. 3-ranked Alexander Zverev on October 21.
• Rublev, who has a 20-15 record in 16 tournaments on hard courts this year, has clinched one tournament win on that surface.
• On hard courts, Rublev has won 22.1% of his return games and 80.5% of his service games.
• On hard courts, Rublev has converted 84 of 239 break points (35.1%).
• In the Round of 32 of his most recent tournament (the Erste Bank Open) on October 21, Rublev was taken down by No. 35-ranked Cameron Norrie 2-6, 7-6, 2-6.