2025 Rolex Paris Masters: Sonego [45th] vs. Korda [54th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

No. 45-ranked Lorenzo Sonego will take on No. 54 Sebastian Korda in the Rolex Paris Masters Round of 64 on Monday, October 27.

Korda is the favorite (-190) to get to the Round of 32 against the underdog Sonego (+145).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Lorenzo Sonego vs. Sebastian Korda matchup info

• Tournament: Rolex Paris Masters
• Round: Round of 64
• Date: Monday, October 27
• Court Surface: Hard

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Sonego vs. Korda Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Sonego has a 65.5% to win.

Sonego vs. Korda Betting Odds

• Sonego’s odds to win match: +145
• Korda’s odds to win match: -190
• Sonego’s odds to win tournament: +5000
• Korda’s odds to win tournament: +900

Sonego vs. Korda matchup performance & stats

• Sonego is 14-17 on hard courts in 2025.
• While playing on hard courts, Sonego has an 80.4% winning percentage in service games and a 19.5% winning percentage in return games (340 service games won out of 423, and 80 return games won out of 410).
• On hard courts, Sonego is 41st in break point winning percentage (39.4%) after going 69-for-175.
• In his previous tournament, the Swiss Indoors Basel, Sonego fell in the Round of 32 to No. 18-ranked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 6-7, 4-6 on October 20.
• Korda hasn’t won any of his 12 tournaments on hard courts so far this year, registering a 15-12 match record on that surface.
• On hard courts, Korda has won 80.6% of his service games and 23.0% of his return games.
• Korda is 56th in break points won on hard courts, converting 59 of 163 (36.2%).
• In his previous tournament (the Swiss Indoors Basel) on October 22, Korda squared off against Ugo Humbert in the Round of 32 and lost 3-6, 4-6.