Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davdidovich Fokina Preview: Head-to-Head and Prediction for Paris Masters 2025
Defending champion Alexander Zverev will look to keep his title defense on track as he takes on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the third round. Zverev’s form coming into Paris has been mixed: he had early-round exits in Beijing and Shanghai, but reached the Vienna final. At the Paris Masters, he began his campaign with a first-round bye, following which he won 6-7 (5), 6-1, 7-5 over Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the second round.
Coming into Paris, Davidovich Fokina reached the quarterfinals in Brussels and finished runner-up in Basel, where he lost to Joao Fonseca. At the Paris Masters, the Spaniard began his campaign with a 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 win over lucky loser and home favorite Valentin Royer in the first round. In the second round, he faced another local favorite, Arthur Cazaux, winning 7-6 (5), 6-4.
Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Details
Date: Oct. 30, 2025
Tournament: Paris Masters 2025
Round: Third Round (Round of 16)
Venue: Paris La Défense Arena, Paris, France
Category: Masters 1000
Surface: Indoor Hard Court
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports
Zverev vs Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head
After six meetings, Zverev has a 5-1 lead in the head-to-head over Davidovich Fokina, with the last match being won by the German 2-6, 7-6 (3), 7-6 (0) at Madrid this year. The only time they met on an indoor hard court, Zverev won 7-5, 7-6(3) at Cologne in 2020.
Zverev vs Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Zverev was really pushed in his last round against Carbelli in the previous round, as the defending champion was in fear of an early exit. In a match that lasted over two hours, Zverev won 78 percent of his first-serve points and was broken once in the game. However, the German was effective on return, breaking his opponent four times, especially during the decisive moment in the third set.
In his first two matches in Paris, Davidovich Fokina has put up impressive serving numbers, winning 79% and 56% of his first- and second-serve points, respectively. On return, he has broken his opponent’s serve four times in two matches and has saved seven of the eight break points he has conceded on his own serve.
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This year, Zverev has a 28-12 win-loss record on hard courts, with his best results being runner-up finishes at the Australian Open and at Vienna, where he lost to Jannik Sinner on both occasions. On the other hand, Davidovich Fokina has a 30-17 win-loss record on the hard courts this year, with the Spaniard having four runner-up finishes on the surface, including at Delray Beach, Acapulco, Washington, and Basel.
Zverev has been making minor adjustments to his game, such as playing aggressively on pressure points rather than settling for a safe baseline rally, and coming to the net more often. Davidovich Fokina needs to mix his serve directions and speeds to keep the German guessing and give himself a chance during the return games. However, being79 the defending champion and having a positive head-to-head, Zverev is the favorite to win the upcoming match.
Pick- Zverev to win in straight sets
