Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Preview: Head-to-Head and Prediction for Vienna Open 2025
Australia’s Alex de Minaur has been sublime at the ongoing 2025 Vienna Open and will look to maintain momentum when he faces Italy’s Matteo Berrettini in the quarterfinals. The Aussie has seamlessly carried his impressive run from the Asian swing, marked by a semifinals finish in Beijing and the quarterfinal exit in Shanghai, into the ATP 500 event in Vienna. So far, he has cruised past Jurij Rodionov and Filip Misolic in straight sets to book his place in the last eight.
Berrettini, meanwhile, last featured at the Stockholm Open, where he struggled to make an impact and exited in the second round after losing to Ugo Humbert. However, the Italian appears to have rediscovered his rhythm in Vienna, battling through a challenging draw. He edged past Alexei Popyrin 7-6(5), 6-3, before defeating Cameron Norrie in a thrilling 7-6(6), 6-7(11), 6-4 encounter to secure his spot in the quarterfinals.
Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Match Details
Date: Oct. 24, 2025
Tournament: Vienna Open 2025
Round: Quarterfinals
Venue: Wiener Stadhalle, Vienna, Austria
Category: ATP 500
Surface: Indoor Hard Court
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports
De Minaur vs Berrettini Head-to-Head
De Minaur and Berrettini are set to meet for the fifth time, with their Vienna clash adding another chapter to their budding rivalry. Historically, it is Berrettini who has had the upper hand, holding a 3-1 head-to-head advantage over the Aussie, and that could boost his confidence heading into the high-stakes quarterfinal.
Their latest meeting came in the fourth round of the Masters 1000 event in Miami earlier this March, where Berrettini edged past De Minaur with a 6-3, 7-6(7) victory.
De Minaur vs Berrettini Prediction
Both players have shown their prowess on serve, a key weapon that could play a decisive role in the quarterfinal. De Minaur has won 85% of his service games, converting 67% of his service points, while Berrettini holds a slight advantage with 87% of service games won and 69% of service points. Yet, De Minaur holds the upper hand in return games, claiming 42% of points compared to Berrettini’s 33%.
However, it is De Minaur who has carried a stronger form through the recent hard-court season since the North American swing. Berrettini, in contrast, skipped the North American hard-court events and struggled in Asia, exiting in the first round at Hangzhou, second round in Tokyo, and again in the first round at Shanghai.
Furthermore, De Minaur enters the quarterfinals boasting an impressive 52-19 win-loss record, while Berrettini trails with a modest 17-15.
In fact, the Aussie holds the edge on hard courts, winning 68% of his matches compared to Berrettini’s 62.76%. He also leads on indoor hard courts, boasting a 63.11% win rate against the Italian’s 55.71%. While Berrettini may have the superior head-to-head record, De Minaur’s recent form gives him a clear advantage heading into their clash.
Pick: De Minaur to win in straight sets.
