Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik Prediction: Auger-Aliassime surges + Turin dreams ignite

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik: Prediction for the Match on November 01, 2025

Felix Auger-Aliassime’s indoor win total hit a milestone this week: it was his 81st win of the decade, which is the most on Tour (ATP), and helping to settle three-set marathons in Paris. He is a slight underdog at 52% to win with 1xbet (line 2.004), but he is riding a wave (48-22 YTD ATP), and has been seeking his return to Turin since 2022. If Felix wins, he goes past Musetti, into eighth in the Live Race to Turin, with 90 points to catch him, in what felt like a revenge match after their Dubai three-setter. The pressure is on with Felix’s No. 10 ranking against Bublik’s No. 16 career-high ranking. 

Historical stats for 2025: (ATP): Felix 13-3 indoor, Bublik 8-4. If Felix wins, it gives him a ticket to end of year elite status, combining off-court fire and on-court fury (e.g., US Open semifinals, Shanghai quarterfinals). For fans, he’s representing Canadian pride. 

For bettors, +0.5 games @ 1.92 gives you peace of mind on the tiebreaks—Felix is top-5 in tiebreaks 69% (ATP). With Turin dangling, expect his “fearhand” to ring out of La Défense Arena.

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🇨🇦 Felix Auger-Aliassime: Form and Statistics

Felix has made Paris the site of his resurgence, thanks in large part to 81 indoor wins since the start of the decade (ATP) and securing a spot in the ATP top 10 in serve round points won on first serve with 79% (ATP). Felix received a #9 seeding and fought through to: R1 edge Comesana 6-7(2), 6-3, 6-3; R2 Epic vs. Muller 5-7, 7-6(5), 7-6(4); R3 Battle vs. Altmaier 3-6, 6-3, 6-2; QF Hospitalized Vacherot 6-2, 6-2. His last 5 indoors: W-W-W-W-L (d. Vacherot 6-2,6-2; d. Altmaier 3-6,6-3,6-2) (ATP). “He is so confident…I had to be focused,” Felix jokingly remarked following his QF on October 31, 2025 (ATP Tour). X: @TennGrand October 30: FAA net: 20/25 winners—”vintage indoors.” Tactically, Felix’s retrieval negates Bublik’s antics; flat forehand using his footwork account for a whopping 62% of his baseline rallies overall against guys residing in the top-20 (Tennis Abstract). Props: Felix over 8.5 aces @ 1.90 (9.2 avg. Paris, ATP) and under 23.5 @ 1.925 if he dictates. 

Year to date: 48-22 (ATP), hard 29-12 (ATP) 42% break rate. Stakes: win gets him Turin, second Finals; loss could see alternates after US Open semi, Brussels.

🇰🇿 Alexander Bublik: Form and Statistics

Alexander Bublik charging in like a rogue serve, No. 16 with 6-5 vs. Top 10 in 2023 (ATP), from Halle to Hangzhou. 13th seed, first Masters semi: R1 = dumped Popyrin 6-4, 6-3; R2 6-3, 7-5 against Moutet; R3 7-6(5), 6-2 against Fritz; QF 6-7(5), 6-4, 7-5 against de Minaur. Last 5 indoors: W-W-W-W-L (d. de Minaur 6-7(5),d. Fritz 7-6(5),6-2) (ATP). “He’s in top form… closer to top 10,” Bublik after QF, 31 October 2025 (Tennis Tonic). X: @TennisTV

 30 October – “Bublik joins Alcaraz – Top-5 wins all surfaces,”. Tactically, 12.4 aces/match (top-15, Tennis Abstract) makes Felix contort; drop shots keep him off balance. In Paris, he was broken just 18% (ATP). His explosiveness introduces volatility into Felix’s grind. Props: Bublik over 11.5 aces @ 1.85 (14.2 avg. indoors, ATP); over 23.5 @ 1.915. 

Year to Date: 48-22, hard 19-15 (ATP), 4 Titles. Stakes: finals means he is first alternate to the Turin, caps breakout No. 82 to top-15; loss stunts top-10 thirst.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik Head-to-Head

Felix is ahead 3-2 (ATP). 2025 Dubai: Felix 7-6(7), 6-7(4), 6-3 = 26 games, 3 breaks (ATP). Felix’s 69% tiebreak success (top 5, ATP) on the indoor hard courts (split 1-1). Bublik’s antics to win Basel 2022; Felix flipped the script by getting 28% second serve points; Tennis Abstract. Both play their best indoors – Felix 81 wins for the decade vs. Bublik 114-68 career for indoor events (Tennis Abstract). 

However, Felix has a 42% break point win rate, and even accounting for volatility in these matches. Prop tease: over 3.5 breaks @ ~1.88; previous three matches average 4.3 breaks (ATP).

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik Betting Tips and Odds

• Felix ML @ 2.004 (1xbet 01-Nov 16:30) — Indoor 13-3 YTD (ATP) + H2H edge dismantles chaos.
• Over 23.5 games @ 1.915 — Tiebreak thrillers; Dubai hit 26 (ATP).
• Felix +0.5 games @ 1.92 — 52% win prob vs. Bublik’s 28% second-serve leak (Tennis Abstract).

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublik Match Prediction

Who wins? Felix 52%.

Set 1: Serve aids 7-6(4) tiebreak (69% clip, ATP) 

Set 2: Bublik snagged 6-4 on underarm break, 12.4 aces/match (Tennis Abstract)

Set 3: Felix broke at 5-4, finished 6-3 with Bublik’s 28% second-serve leak. Upset chance: 35% (Bublik straights—62% tiebreak YTD, ATP—if Felix tires). 

Final scoreline: 7-6, 4-6, 6-3. 

X insight: @Notacappah “over 2.5 sets locks cash” + Felix seals Turin via Bublik kookiness, quiets Paris skeptics.

Top 3 Picks:-

Felix ML @ 2.004 on 1xbet.com (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)

Over 23.5 games @ 1.915 on Betway.com (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)

Felix +0.5 games @ 1.92 on Bet365.com (Rating ⭐ ⭐ ⭐)