Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev Preview: Head-to-Head and Prediction for ATP Finals 2025

American rising star Ben Shelton will launch his ATP Finals campaign on Sunday, November 9, against World No. 3 Alexander Zverev. The 23-year-old arrives in Turin with a 40–21 record and a breakthrough season highlighted by his maiden Masters 1000 triumph at the Canada Open. He also finished runner-up in Munich and reached the semifinals at the Australian Open, the BOSS Open, and the Mubadala Citi DC Open. With several marquee performances behind him, Shelton steps into the season finale full of confidence.
Zverev, meanwhile, has put together a solid 54-23 win-loss record this season, headlined by his title run in Munich, where he defeated Shelton in the final. He also recorded runner-up finishes at the Australian Open, the Erste Bank Open, and the BOSS Open. Zverev also impressed in his most recent appearance at the Paris Masters, finishing as a semifinalist after falling to World No. 1 Jannik Sinner.
Ben Shelton vs Alexander Zverev Match Details
Date: November 9, 2025
Tournament: ATP Finals 2025
Round: (Group stage) Round-Robin
Venue: Inalpi Arena, Turin, Italy
Category: ATP Finals
Surface: Indoor hardcourt
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports
Shelton vs Zverev Head-to-Head
This will be their fifth career meeting, with Zverev holding complete control of the rivalry to date. The German leads 4–0 in their head-to-head and has notably won all three of their clashes that took place this season. Their most recent encounter came at the Cincinnati Masters quarterfinals, where Zverev secured a convincing 6-2, 6-2 win over the American.
Shelton vs Zverev Prediction
Shelton’s serve will be his biggest asset in the indoor conditions of Turin. The big-hitting American has won 87% of his service games this season with 68% of his service points, making him one of the toughest players to break on tour. His return game has been less effective, though, with just 17% of return games won and a 41% break-point conversion rate.
Zverev, meanwhile, comes into the contest having won 86% of his service games and 68% of his service points this season. He also holds a slight edge on return, winning 23% of return games while converting 41% of his break-point chances, giving him a more balanced overall profile heading into Turin.
MORE: ‘We’re Not Greedy People’ – Ben Shelton Makes His Position Clear on Players’ Talks With Grand Slams
Although Shelton holds a higher indoor hard-court winning percentage this season at 75.44%, compared to Zverev’s 66.67%, their head-to-head history tells a different story. The German has consistently neutralized Shelton’s power with his superior returning and nearly equal serving strength.
Given his overall dominance and proven ability to handle high-pressure moments, Zverev may have an edge over Shelton.
Pick: Zverev to win in three sets.




