UK weather outlook: A very mild start to November, but is something colder on the way?

The UK saw it’s mildest Bonfire Night on record with an overnight low of 14.4°C in London. The mild and unsettled theme is set to continue this week, as mild southerly winds and Atlantic lows sweep across the country. However, are there signs of a change, and could we see a hint of winter by the end of the week?
Bilal Khalid 09/11/2025 10:13 5 min
Sunday morning could start of relatively chilly across parts of the country, particularly under any clearer skies, with temperatures of 6-8°C first thing in the morning. Cloud and showery rain will be pushing across Scotland through the morning, before a band of rain pushes into western areas more widely, across north west England and Wales.
Elsewhere, through much of the Midlands, southern England and Wales, it should remain largely dry later in the afternoon and early evening. There should be some brighter spells in between, particularly across East Anglia and the south east, though there could be a few showers pushing into the south ahead of another front arriving later in the evening.
Overnight, the front will push north eastwards, bringing a spell of heavier rain across Wales and southern England to begin with, before making its way northwards across the UK during the night.
Mild and wet weather continues into next week, as the jet stream sits right over the UK, bringing a conveyer belt of low pressure systems towards the country
Monday morning will likely see a wet start across Northern Ireland, southern Scotland and for the far north of England before it pushes northwards into Scotland through the morning and afternoon. It should be a mild start for much of the country with lows of 10-12°C, although it will be chillier further north ahead of the front in Scotland, where lows could drop to 5-7°C.
By the afternoon, another area of heavy showers will push north across the southern half of the UK and into the Midlands. For the northern half of the country however, it should turn drier with brighter spells, particularly for western Scotland.
Temperatures will be quite mild across southern areas, with highs of 14-15°C, though it will be feeling fresher as you move north where highs are likely to be between 10-12°C.
Mild, wet and windy for much of the week, but is a wintry blast on the way?
Through much of next week, low pressure systems will continue to bring spells of heavy rain, particularly to western areas of the country, where weather fronts could be slow moving allowing totals to build up. This will be the case on Tuesday as a low pressure system could bring some heavy rainfall for parts of north west England, Northern Ireland, Wales and western Scotland, though further south east it should remain largely dry with brighter spells even possible.
Wednesday and Thursday are likely to see additional low pressure systems sweeping across the UK bringing spells of wet and windy weather to many parts of the country. South westerly winds are set to continue through much of the week, keeping things on the milder side, however there is a chance of some colder weather by the following weekend.
Temperatures by the end of the week could be significantly colder than what we have seen for much of November so far. There remains a high level of uncertainty however regarding the timing and extent of any cold incursions
While there is a high degree of uncertainty, there is the possibility of colder north or north easterly winds by the end of next week. This would bring much cooler conditions across the country, with daytime highs of 6-8°C, below average for the time of year, as well as the risk of frost and fog for many places overnight. As we near the start of winter, should it become sufficiently cold by the following week, there is also a chance of some wintriness, most likely across the northern half of the UK.




