Guatemala vs Panama Prediction: Can Guatemala’s defence weather that storm?

Guatemala vs Panama: Prediction for the Match on November 14, 2025
Suriname is in first place in Group A, just ahead of Panama, with Guatemala one point behind and El Salvador three points behind with two games left. In the beautiful setting of Norway’s Brann Stadion, Guatemala faces Panama with Group A qualification on the line. Panama is the group leader and is confident, but they haven’t fully dominated yet. Guatemala is just one point behind and is quietly poised to strike. Both teams have similar records this window, showing their resilience. As each game ends, the race in Group A stays close and intense.
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Guatemala: Form and Statistics
Guatemala is set on making it to their first FIFA World Cup. They will play Panama and Suriname at home in their last two games. Their next game is a very important World Cup qualifier against Panama at Estadio Cementos Progreso. Oscar Santis scored the only goal in Guatemala’s hard-fought 1-0 win over El Salvador. The team’s defense has been strong, only giving up one goal in their last two games. Guatemala is hard to break down, having only given up three goals in their last five games, even though they have trouble with passing accuracy and a conservative attack. Luis Fernando Tena, the coach, is unlikely to change the winning team from the El Salvador match. But they need to get better in some important areas. Guatemala has been fouling too much (more than 17 times per game) and needs to be more confident when they attack. In Group A, Guatemala is only one point behind Panama and Suriname. Guatemala’s chances of going to the World Cup will be over if they lose to Panama and Suriname wins their match. The team will try to beat Panama for the first time since 2005, when they won 2-1.
Guatemala News and Lineup
The team doesn’t have any new call-ups. Matthew Evans Wolff (LAFC II), Carlos Estrada (Municipal), and Diego Santis (Antigua) are back on the team. Nicholas Hagen from Columbus Crew is likely to start in goal. He has already played in the first four games of the third round of qualifying. Aaron Herrera, Jose Pinto, Nicolas Samayoa, and Jose Ardon will be on the defensive line to protect him. Rubio Rubin might get the number nine spot up front instead of Darwin Lom.
🔖 Guatemala Expected Lineup
GK: Nicholas Hagen
DF: Stheven Robles, J. Morales, Nicolás Samayoa, Jose Pinto Samayoa
MF: Oscar Santis, Rudy Josué Muñoz, Aaron Herrera
FW: D. Lom, Arquimides Ordonez, Rubio Rubin
Panama: Form and Statistics
Panama form (Last 5 Matches): W L D D W D
Panama wants to win all of its games in Group A. They will probably be careful in their match on Friday. The two teams tied 1-1 in the qualifiers, and another close game is expected. Ismael Diaz from Club Leon is back in shape, which is good news for Panama. Panama had more of the ball in their recent 1-1 draw with Suriname, but they couldn’t finish their chances, even though they took 28 shots. Carrasquilla and Martínez make up a strong midfield pair that creates chances for Díaz and Fajardo. The defense is strong and gives up few chances. They are also dangerous on set pieces, with Escobar often being the target. One problem for Panama has been losing focus late in games, which has caused them to tie games they were winning. But their strong performances at important times have been a highlight. Panama is in second place in the group right now, just behind Suriname in goals scored. If El Salvador doesn’t beat Suriname, a win would guarantee a top-two finish. Panama can be sure of themselves because they have won 11 of their last 13 games against Guatemala, with two draws.
Panama Team News and Lineup
Orlando Mosquera will start in goal for the visitors instead of Luis Mejia. He has earned the spot as Christiansen’s number one. A back five made up of Amir Murillo, Jiovany Ramos, Fidel Escobar, Andres Andrade, and Eric Davis will protect him. Jose Fajardo will lead the attack against Guatemala and try to add to his 16 international goals.
🔖 Panama Expected Lineup
GK: Orlando Mosquera
DF: Éric Davis, Fidel Escobar, Michael Murillo, Andres Andrade
MF: Adalberto Carrasquilla, Cristian Martínez, Yoel Bárcenas, José Luis Rodríguez
FW: Ismael Díaz, José Fajardo
Guatemala vs Panama Head-to-Head statistics
Looking at their historical head-to-head matchups, Guatemala has seen 3 draws in their 6 previous encounters with Panama. Head-to-head favors Panama: in the last 4 meetings Guatemala lost twice and drew twice, giving Panama an edge.
Guatemala vs Panama: Betting Tips & Odds
- Guatemala has drawn half of their last six matches. At home, they’ve won 2 of 3 World Cup qualification games this season. However, they struggle to score, having netted 0 goals in their only home loss, 0-1. Overall, Guatemala is winless at home, averaging 0 goals per game.
- Panama has been strong, with 5 wins in 8 league matches. They have been especially impressive away, with a 58% win rate on the road. Panama is unbeaten in their group matches away from home, with 1 win and 3 draws, conceding only once.
- Panama sits second in the Group A table with 6 points, just one ahead of Guatemala in third. Their steadier form on the road gives them the edge over Guatemala.
Guatemala vs Panama match prediction, 12th November 2025
Half of Guatemala’s last six games have ended in a tie. They’ve won 2 out of 3 World Cup qualifying games at home this season. But they have trouble scoring; they lost at home 0-1 and didn’t score any goals. Guatemala hasn’t won a game at home yet, and they average 0 goals per game. Panama has done well, winning 5 of its 8 league games. They have been especially good on the road, where they win 58% of the time. Panama has played four group matches away from home and hasn’t lost any of them. They have one win and three draws, and they have only given up one goal. With 6 points, Panama is in second place in Group A, just one point ahead of Guatemala in third. They have the edge over Guatemala because they play better on the road.
Our match prediction is Draw with odds at 3.60 on the Bet365 bookmaker.
Our betting tip is Under 2.5 total goals with odds at 1.65 on the Betway bookmaker.
Our last match prediction is BTTS (yes) with odds at 2.05 on 1Xbet bookmaker.



