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Tarleton State vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 14

  • Baylor is a -24.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Tarleton State / Baylor TV channel: ESPN+

The Tarleton State Texans visit Foster Pavilion to take on the Baylor Bears on Nov. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Waco, TX.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-105).

The Tarleton State vs. Baylor Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Tarleton State vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)MoneylineTarleton State+24.5 -115O 152.5 -110Baylor -24.5 -105U 152.5 -110

Tarleton State vs Baylor Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 76.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tarleton State vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 61.9% confidence for today’s game.

Bet now on Baylor vs Tarleton State and all games with BetMGM

  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+9.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+7.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+2.55 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.95 Units / 10% ROI)

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 3-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 2.42% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (525 turnovers/32 games) last season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Tarleton State made 4.1 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Tarleton State made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (525 turnovers/32 games) last season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Tarleton State made 4.1 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Tarleton State made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

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