Green Bay Packers Start-Sit: Week 10 Fantasy Advice for Jordan Love, Josh Jacobs, Christian Watson, Dontayvion Wicks, and Others
The fantasy football landscape shifts each week, bringing fresh opportunities and unexpected challenges that separate the prepared from the pretenders. Savvy managers know that last week’s performance tells only part of the story, and diving deeper into the underlying metrics reveals the accurate picture.
This week presents some intriguing decisions. Here’s insight about key Green Bay Packers players heading into their matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles to help you craft a winning lineup.
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Jordan Love, QB
The Eagles’ defense is solid, but quarterbacks have had some success in terms of fantasy production against them this season in terms of a production floor (17.9+ points scored in four of their past five games).
If Jordan Love were in strong fantasy form, I’d be promoting him as a fringe top 10 QB in this spot, but that’s not the case, and he’s now without his most consistent pass catcher in Tucker Kraft.
Love has failed to throw multiple TD passes in three of his past four games, and the rushing production is sporadic at best. I’ve been impressed with the accuracy (70.8% completion this season), and that elevates the floor for Green Bay’s signal-caller, but I don’t see much of a ceiling here, and that’s why I have him ranked behind Caleb Williams, Jared Goff, and Sam Darnold this week.
Josh Jacobs, RB
It’s pretty evident that Josh Jacobs is battling a calf injury, but as long as the Packers list him as active, we will do the same.
Emanuel Wilson got work on the first drive of the game and the first touch of the second half for the Packers in a game in which they were trailing, red flags that are mitigated by Jacobs having found the end zone in 15 of his last 16 games.
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These “limitations” resulted in 21 touches for Jacobs last weekend against the Panthers. If you want to add Wilson to the end of your roster for insurance, I’ll co-sign, but this feels more like a management situation than anything else.
I fully expect a heavy dose of Jacobs in this spot as the Packers look to rebound from a bad loss to potentially an elite win.
Christian Watson, WR
Well, we are two games into the Christian Watson experience this season, and I think we have a good idea of what we have.
He’s posted a sub-17% target share in each of those contests and has a 23.1-yard aDOT across the eight targets he’s earned.
That’s a small sample for 2022, but we know that, when healthy, this is what Watson is. The Matthew Stafford injury opens up an opportunity, but as Jordan Love continues to mature, I become less confident in a player like this.
Think about Buffalo, another strong team that largely operates with a democratic target approach. When was the last time you felt good about “insert deep threat” on a weekly basis?
They’ve made the effort, but it hasn’t panned out. Watson hauled in a 51-yard bomb last week against the Panthers as Love identified single coverage and took his shot, but for every one of those, there’s a near triple coverage situation that results in a pick, an exact situation we saw over the weekend.
It appears that Love wants to keep defenses honest with at least the threat of the long pass, and Watson is positioned well to be the WR running under those attempts. That makes the burner, for as long as he’s healthy, a reasonable flex dart throw in times of need, but not someone that you should be holding out hope for in terms of a consistent producer.
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Only the Broncos have allowed a lower percentage of deep targets to be completed this season than the Eagles (34.4%, league average: 43.9%), and that means I’m waiting for another week to tempt fate with this volatile profile.
Dontayvion Wicks, WR
The calf injury continued to keep Dontayvion Wicks sidelined over the weekend, and given the number of viable threats in this passing game, you’d have to be in an awfully tight spot to consider holding on.
The third-year man hasn’t reached 45 receiving yards in a game this season and has one touchdown to his name over the past calendar year.
I’m not sure we know who the right answer is when it comes to WR1 duties in Green Bay, but we know that Wicks’ hype isn’t in the ring.
Jayden Reed, WR
Jayden Reed underwent foot and clavicle surgeries in the middle of September, and November has long been believed to be the target return month.
Green Bay’s presumed WR1 scored in Week 1 and was injured on a play in Week 2 that was inches from being a score. It’s only a six-target sample, so do with it what you will, but three came 15+ yards downfield (sub 30% rate in each of his first two seasons).
READ MORE: Soppe’s Week 10 Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em: Analysis for Every Player in Every Game
My thought is that the team was aware of what Tucker Kraft could do in the short receiving game, and the speed of Matthew Golden was anything but a secret, thus opening up Reed to expand his route tree a bit. That’s how he can become a weekly fantasy asset, but he needs to prove himself healthy before anything.
The Packers play the Bears twice in December, matchups that give Reed the potential to crack my top 24 in those impact weeks, should his usage trend in the direction we saw out of the gates.
Matthew Golden, WR
I said it last week, and I’ll double down after another underwhelming performance from the Packers’ rookie receiver.
You can move on from Matthew Golladay in most formats.
I understand that the pedigree and single-play upside is tempting, but not only is he banged up, but his aDOT has regressed in a major way since the return of Christian Watson. The case to drop Golladay stems more from strategy than the player himself, though the two are obviously intertwined.
Are you ever going to start him with confidence?
A simple question: if your answer is no, then, in my opinion, any player is droppable. I don’t see Golladay carving out a role that necessitates starting him, and we’ve seen injuries occur around him with minimal impact on his usage.
The argument could be made for one more week (assuming health), to see what the target distribution looks like sans Tucker Kraft. That’s fair, and I won’t stand in your way, but if you don’t have that luxury, Golladay is squarely on the chopping block.
Romeo Doubs, WR
We can say it now.
The Packers’ WR carousel is now a complicated fight for WR2 honors, as Romeo Doubs seems to have put to bed a race for the top spot on this depth chart.
The fourth-year receiver has seen at least eight targets in four of his past five games, and while he hasn’t scored since his Week 4 hat trick against the Cowboys, the volume is a signal that Jordan Love has one player he trusts more than the rest, especially in the void left by Tyjae Spears.
On Sunday, he was responsible for five of Love’s first 15 completions and finished with multiple end zone targets for the second time this season. With Josh Jacobs continuing to fight through this calf injury, I think it’s perfectly logical to pencil this team in for a pass-centric plan against the reigning champs, and that puts Doubs in the low-end WR2 conversation.
Luke Musgrave, TE
Luke Musgrave was drafted ahead of Tucker Kraft in 2023, but their careers have gone in different directions.
Until now.
Musgrave profiles as the natural fill-in for the void left by Kraft (torn ACL). That’s great for those of you in points per offensive snap leagues, but outside of that, I think you’re living on a prayer.
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Kraft’s ability to change the game with the ball in his hands is why he was averaging four catches per game and a weekly starter. Musgrave hasn’t shown us that at the professional level and, given the depth of WR talent on this roster, I’m not sure he gets the chance to.
Musgrave will be on the field plenty for a good offense, so keep him on your streamer Bingo card, but I need to see proof of concept before I trust him with a spot on my roster.
Tucker Kraft, TE
Kraft suffered a knee injury late in the second quarter against the Panthers over the weekend and never managed to return, ending a streak of four straight double-digit PPR games dead in its tracks.
The injury looms as a real concern, even for an active player, given the number of pass-catching options in this offense. That said, I don’t see how you can do anything but follow the team’s lead on this one.
If the Packers play him, you do the same.
In Weeks 7-8, he earned 19 targets and was well on his way to proving himself as Jordan Love’s top option. A compromised version of Kraft wouldn’t be ideal, but at the TE position, it’s enough.
But that’s going to be a 2026 discussion after news broke that Kraft’s ACL is, in fact, torn. It’ll be natural to lose track of a player who isn’t on your radar for the final two months, but if he can clear rehab in time for Week 1 next year, he’s a viable starter at the position without much hesitation.
