Soccer / World Cup – Qualification Europe
17/11/2025 – 20:45
Malta
VS
Poland
Odds updated on November 15, 2025 at 4:47 pm
Poland travel to Malta on Monday night knowing that their hopes of securing automatic qualification for the 2026 World Cup are hanging by the thinnest of threads. Friday’s 1-1 draw with the Netherlands kept the gap at three points, but Poland now need a miracle on the final day. Meanwhile, Malta have already been eliminated from contention.
Poland had the perfect chance to blow Group G wide open in Warsaw when Jakub Kaminski put them ahead just before half-time. But Ronald Koeman’s side struck back almost instantly through Memphis Depay. The draw leaves Poland second, three points behind the Dutch and with a significantly worse goal difference. As a result, they need to win, hope the Netherlands lose at home to Lithuania, and somehow overturn a 13-goal swing.
While that scenario is virtually impossible, Poland at least enter the final match unbeaten in their last five games in all competitions. Even if automatic qualification slips away, Jan Urban’s side are guaranteed a playoff spot, which ensures their World Cup journey will continue beyond Monday night.
Malta vs Poland Best Bets
BetsMoneylineMoneylineFull Time ResultMalta: +1150, Poland: -400Draw: +500Draw No BetMalta: +850Poland: -2000Total GoalsOver 2.5: -150Under 2.5: +105Malta to Win and Both Teams to ScoreYes: +1900No: +1550Poland to Win and Both Teams to ScoreYes: +230No: -130
(Odds via BetMGM)
Malta vs Poland Preview
Meanwhile, Malta come into the final round in good spirits after picking up their first Group G win on Friday, a surprising 1-0 victory away to Finland courtesy of Jake Grech’s late strike. That result lifted them to fourth place with five points and gives them a chance to finish above Lithuania depending on results elsewhere.
Despite that positive result, Malta’s head-to-head record against Poland makes for grim reading. The Reds have lost each of their last five meetings with the Eagles, conceding 15 goals without scoring once. Their return fixture in March ended in a routine 2-0 win for Poland.
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Malta vs Poland Over/Under Predictions
Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 as per BetMGM
Over 2.5 Goals is a strong play given the recent form of both sides. Malta have been involved in several high-scoring defeats in this qualifying cycle, losing 4-0 to the Netherlands and 4-1 to Bosnia & Herzegovina. Meanwhile, Poland’s attack has been much more consistent. With Malta conceding heavily against stronger opponents, this matchup has all the signs of producing three or more goals.
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Malta vs Poland Team Picks
Malta Total Corners Under 2.5 @ -140
Malta spend most of their matches defending and rarely attack enough to win many corners. They’ve finished with fewer than 2.5 corners in all of their last five World Cup qualifying games, showing a clear pattern. With Poland expected to control this match, Malta are unlikely to create enough pressure to break that trend.
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Malta vs Poland Final Scoreline Prediction
With Malta playing for pride, Monday’s clash in Ta’ Qali is unlikely to produce any drama at the top of the table. Malta will want to finish with a strong home performance while Poland will be eager to finish their campaign on a winning note as they turn their attention toward the playoffs.
Final Prediction: Malta 0-3 Poland
When and where is the Malta vs Poland game?
The Malta vs Poland clash is on November 17, 2025, at National Stadium in Attard, Malta.
What are the BetMGM betting odds for the Malta vs Poland game?
Poland are favorites to win with a moneyline at -400, to draw at +500 and for Malta to win at +1150.
Name some key prop bets for the Malta vs Poland game from BetMGM
Malta Total Corners Under 2.5 @ -140
Bettors can explore a variety of betting options on BetMGM, including full-time results, over/under goals, and player props for this clash.
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