The Milwaukee Bucks (8-6) and Cleveland Cavaliers (9-5) meet Monday in an Eastern Conference battle from Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET (Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Bucks vs. Cavaliers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cavaliers lead 1-0, with 118-113 win Oct. 26, failing to cover as a 6.5-point home favorite as the Under (234) cashed
The Bucks lost to the LA Lakers 119-95 Saturday, failing to cover as a 2-point home favorite as the Under (229.5) hit. F Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is playing at an MVP level, tallied 32 points and 10 rebounds. Milwaukee has traded off winning and losing over its last 10 games and is 3-7 against the spread (ATS) in that span. It is 7-7 ATS on the season.
The Cavaliers beat the Memphis Grizzlies 108-100 Saturday, closing as a 10.5-point home favorite as the Under (241.5) cleared with ease. G Donovan Mitchell scored a team-high 30 points on 10-for-21 shooting. Cleveland, after its season-long 4-game win streak earlier in the month, has gone 2-2 in its last 4 games. Often a heavy favorite, it is just 4-10 ATS.
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Bucks at Cavaliers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 11:06 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bucks +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Cavaliers -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +6.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Bucks at Cavaliers key injuries
Bucks
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) probable
- G Kevin Porter Jr. (knee) out
Cavaliers
- G Darius Garland (toe) out
- G Max Strus (foot) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Bucks at Cavaliers picks and predictions
Prediction
Cavaliers 118, Bucks 115
PASS.
No interest. The Cavaliers (-275) should come out on top, but they are far too expensive to consider.
BET BUCKS +6.5 (-110).
The Bucks defense should be able to limit what Cleveland does best — shoot from deep. Milwaukee ranks seventh in opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (34.3%), and that should bode well against the Cavaliers’ volume shooting. Cleveland ranks No. 1 in 3-point field goal attempts per game (46.1).
The Cavaliers have failed to cover in 4 straight home games as well. They are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. The Bucks have scored at least 115 points in 4 of their last 6 games, suggesting they should be able to keep things close in this one.
Take BUCKS +6.5 (-110).
BET UNDER 237.5 (-110).
The Bucks have gone Under in 5 of their last 8 games. They rank 14th in pace, so they aren’t necessarily going to be the side pushing the tempo in this game.
The Cavaliers are 6-6 O/U in their last 12 games, and while they play at a fast tempo, they rank outside the top 10 in offensive rating. Both sides also sit outside the top 10 in offensive rebounding rate, suggesting second-chance opportunities could be limited.
Back UNDER 237.5 (-110).
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