College football player props today: Week 13 Friday’s best props include Hollywood Smothers [11/21/2025]

Hollywood Smothers under 65.5 rushing yards (-114)

Our model has flagged value on North Carolina State’s Hollywood Smothers under 65.5 rushing yards. A probability of 77.8% gives this play an edge of 24.5% at -114 odds.

Terrell Anderson under 36.5 receiving yards (-114)

Terrell Anderson’s receiving yards prop shows a 65.3% probability and an 12.0% edge at -114 odds, according to our model.

Jayden Scott anytime touchdown scorer (+160)

Our model shows value on Jayden Scott anytime touchdown scorer, supported by a 9.6% edge at +160 odds.

Micahi Danzy anytime touchdown scorer (+220)

Our model finds value on Micahi Danzy to score a touchdown, with a 38.9% probability and an edge of 7.6% at +220 odds.

Justin Joly over 15.5 receiving yards (-114)

Our model shows value on Justin Joly over 15.5 receiving yards for North Carolina State, showing an edge of 6.2% edge at -114 odds.

Duce Robinson anytime touchdown scorer (+125)

Duce Robinson’s anytime touchdown scorer prop shows an edge of 5.3% edge at +125 odds, supported by a 49.7% probability according to our model.

Tommy Castellanos passing yards (-114)

Our model highlights value on Tommy Castellanos passing yards for Florida State, with a 58.5% probability and a 5.2% edge at -114 odds.

Hollywood Smothers receiving yards (-114)

Our model shows value on Hollywood Smothers receiving yards, supported by a 57.4% probability at -114 odds and an edge of 4.1%.

Micahi Danzy score 2+ touchdowns (+1900)

A 2.6% edge on the score 2+ touchdowns line makes Micahi Danzy a value play in Florida State vs. North Carolina State, supported by a 7.6% probability at +1900 odds.

Micahi Danzy first touchdown scorer (+1700)

Our model shows value on Micahi Danzy first touchdown scorer here, with a 7.0% probability and 1.4% edge at -130 odds.

CFB player prop summary: Week 13, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:54AM ET:

Prop
Odds
Edge
Probability

Hollywood Smothers under 65.5 rushing yards
-114 @ FanDuel
24.5%
77.8%

Terrell Anderson under 36.5 receiving yards
-114 @ FanDuel
12.0%
65.3%

Jayden Scott anytime touchdown scorer
+160 @ FanDuel
7.6%
38.9%

Micahi Danzy anytime touchdown scorer
+220 @ FanDuel
7.6%
38.9%

Justin Joly over 15.5 receiving yards
-114 @ FanDuel
6.2%
59.4%

Duce Robinson anytime touchdown scorer
+125 @ DraftKings
5.3%
49.7%

Tommy Castellanos passing yards
-114 @ FanDuel
5.2%
58.5%

Hollywood Smothers receiving yards
-114 @ FanDuel
4.1%
57.4%

Micahi Danzy score 2+ touchdowns
+1900 @ DraftKings
2.6%
7.6%

Micahi Danzy first touchdown scorer
+1700 @ DraftKings
1.4%
7.0%

More college football betting

For further insights into this week’s NCAAF action, check out the latest from the Dimers Sports Betting Podcast:

Conclusion

For November 21, 2025, our college football prop bets feature players such as Hollywood Smothers, Terrell Anderson and Jayden Scott. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. Dimers promotes responsible gambling.