Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai matchup features veteran striking volume against youthful wrestling dominance. Both fighters are looking to secure their positions in the welterweight division. These contenders will clash at UFC Qatar on November 22nd.
Hermansson stands 6’1″ with a 77 inch reach and a 24-9 record. He shows aggressive striking at 5.13 per minute with 45% accuracy while absorbing 3.70. His striking defense sits at 57% and his grappling presents moderate threat with 1.50 takedowns per fight at 29% accuracy and 0.4 submission attempts. He has a solid 80% takedown defense that keeps scrambles in his favor when opponents shoot.
🥊Myktybek Orolbai vs Jack Hermansson at UFC Qatar this weekend…Hermansson’s a vet dropping from 185, but at 37 with 24-9, can “The Joker” handle Orolbai’s relentless pressure? pic.twitter.com/8Rlwq4UR8H
— manch🦆 (@manchofsteel) November 19, 2025
Orolbai measures 5’10” with a 74 inch reach and 14-2-1 record. He showcases conservative striking at 3.11 per minute with 48% accuracy while absorbing 3.08. His striking defense registers at 50%, trailing Hermansson’s defensive capabilities and his grappling absolutely dominates his approach with 5.82 takedowns per fight at excellent 45% accuracy and 0.7 submission attempts. He has a concerning 40% takedown defense that presents vulnerability in scrambles.
Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai Predictions And Picks
This UFC fight breaks down to whether Hermansson’s striking volume and veteran experience can overwhelm Orolbai’s dominant wrestling and youth advantage. Hermansson holds clear advantages in striking output, along with three-inch height and reach edge. However, Orolbai demonstrates overwhelming grappling superiority with more takedowns per fight at higher accuracy, nearly quadrupling Hermansson’s takedown average.
The critical factor lies in Hermansson’s recent struggles concerning weight cut. At 37 years old, dropping to welterweight for the first time in his professional career represents a dangerous gamble. His 1-2 record over the past three years includes two knockout losses, exposing durability issues. Orolbai’s youth at 27 years old creates significant athletic disparities. His only career loss came via split decision in a competitive fight. His wrestling-heavy approach creates constant pressure that drains opponents physically and mentally.
If we bet on this fight, we are going with Myktybek Orolbai to win via unanimous decision.
Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai MMA Betting Odds
Myktybek Orolbai enters as a solid favorite at -265 on FanDuel. Meanwhile, Jack Hermansson comes in as the +200 underdog. These odds reflect confidence in Orolbai’s wrestling dominance, youth advantage, and Hermansson’s recent form overcoming the veteran’s experience.
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The odds for the fight going the distance stand at -126. The odds for the fight ending before the final bell stands at -102. These near pick’em odds reflect uncertainty around whether Orolbai’s wrestling leads to a finish or if Hermansson’s veteran survival skills carry him to the scorecards.
Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai Best Bets
Here are the best bets for Jack Hermansson vs Myktybek Orolbai fight:
Orolbai Moneyline (-265)
Fair price on the younger, more dominant wrestler. His 5.82 takedowns per fight combined with 10-year age advantage should overwhelm Hermansson’s declining skills.
Orolbai by Decision (+165)
Excellent value for the grinding wrestler’s most likely path to victory. His relentless takedown pressure accumulates rounds clearly without necessarily producing finishes. Hermansson’s veteran experience and good takedown defense keep him surviving to the scorecards.
Fight Goes Distance (-126)
Solid bet at near pick’em odds. Hermansson’s veteran survival instincts and proven durability outside his two recent knockout losses suggest he reaches the final bell. Orolbai’s wrestling-heavy approach favors control over finishes, making judges decision likely.
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)
(Image Credit: Jason Silva – Imagn Images)
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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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