Charlie Cummings gives insight into his favorite Nikola Jokic player prop bet for Saturday’s Nuggets vs. Kings matchup.
The Denver Nuggets are stampeding their way through the Western Conference, while the Sacramento Kings are caught underfoot. Nikola Jokic has been unstoppable for quite some time; facing a Kings team scrambling for an identity, he’s primed to feast. But what is the best way to bet on his player prop market? Let’s find out together.
The Nuggets are 10.5-point home favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. They’re priced at -535 on the moneyline, while the Kings are +400 underdogs. The total for this game is set at 240.5 points. Let’s get into my favorite Jokic prop bet for this Nuggets vs. Kings showdown.
Best Nikola Jokic Player Prop
With Jokic, there’s no doubt that a ridiculous stat line is coming. He’s -145 to record a triple-double, which is preposterous. That makes it all the more challenging to find value in his prop market.
Domantas Sabonis’ absence plays a key role here. The Kings come into this game second-to-last in offensive rebounding rate, while middle of the pack in defensive rebounding. It’s a sharp contrast to last year, where they were second in defensive rebounding and average at offensive rebounding. Without Sabonis and his strength in the paint, they’re absolute food on the boards.
Jokic already leads the NBA in rebounds per game. The three-time MVP is reeling in 13 rebounds per game, his highest mark since the 2021-22 NBA season. Sabonis is one of the only players in the league who can come close to matching his blend of strength, hand-eye coordination, and rebounding craft. Drew Eubanks and rookie Maxime Raynaud will be tasked with keeping the Joker from dominating the glass.
I don’t have much hope for those two in this respect. The value on Jokic is for him to go above his season average of 13 rebounds on the night.
Best Nikola Jokic Prop Bet: 14+ Total Rebounds +149
