Toronto Maple Leafs @ Washington Capitals
05:00 PM at Capital One Arena
Watch on: TVAS, TSN4, MNMT
The Leafs last game was away on November 26 against the Columbus Blue Jackets, which Toronto won by a score of 2-1 in overtime. The Leafs have a record of 10-10-3 for a 0.500 Points %.
The Washington Capitals last played at home on November 26 against the Winnipeg Jets. The Capitals won by a score of 4-3 in regulation, and their current league record is 13-9-2 for a 0.583 Points %.
Them
Washington has a “no one is bad” lineup. Their centre depth is laughable, their best players have more grey hair than I do, and no one on wing looks like a goal threat.
I know how they got so many points last year and it was mostly goaltending with a side order of shooting heaters.
This season, the Points % is weak, but they actually lead the east in goal differential and are tied for most goals scored with Carolina. They’ve likely had some goals come when they didn’t need them and lost some close ones to keep them out of first place.
Once again, they are the true inheritor of the Sheldon Keefe Leafs in terms of their five-on-five results. They are top five in all relevant shot-based percentages. Top five in offensive rates, decent at the rate of shots against and mediocre bordering on bad at Expected Goals against.
Their power play has been terrible, however, with a very low rate of Expected Goals and a worse goal rate. They are hovering near the bottom of the league in goals scored on the power play even with Tom Wilson’s prodigious talents at drawing penalties to give them more chances.
They also take a lot of penalties and their PK is as bad at allowing high quality shots as the team is at five-on-five. They allow a lot of goals against shorthanded with only average goaltending there.
The goalies as a tandem are very good, but not red hot like last year.
So, in general, the team is easier to score on than they were last year, but you need to defend at five-on-five against them or you’re in trouble.
Lines
Last Game (2025-11-26) via Daily Faceoff
Alex Ovechkin – Dylan Strome – Anthony Beauvillier
Aliaksei Protas – Justin Sourdif – Tom Wilson
Brandon Duhaime – Connor McMichael – Ryan Leonard
Sonny Milano – Hendrix Lapierre – Ethen Frank
Martin Fehervary – John Carlson
Jakob Chychrun – Matt Roy
Rasmus Sandin – Dylan McIlrath
Logan Thompson
Charlie Lindgren
Us
The Leafs played a five-forward power play in the last game, and they look to be doing it again.
Mark MastersLeafs PP units at skate
QB: Matthews
Flanks: Domi/Maccelli, Cowan
Middle: Tavares
Net front: Knies
QB: Ekman-Larsson
Flanks: Rielly, Roberson
Middle: McMann
Net front: Roy
Absent: Nylander
– TSN
Auston Matthews will be manning the quarterback spot on the Maple Leafs’ five-forward power play and the team discusses what they expect from their captain at the position.
Lines
Projected lines based on Mark Master’s practice report. It is not confirmed that Max Domi will be scratched.
William Nylander won’t play tonight due to illness.
Joshua comes in.
Woll starts.
— luke fox (@lukefoxjukebox) November 28, 2025
Max Domi or Matias Maccelli will have to also come in. Maccelli it is!
Matthew Knies – Auston Matthews – Nicholas Robertson
Easton Cowan – John Tavares – William Nylander
Dakota Joshua – Nicolas Roy – Bobby McMann
Steven Lorentz – Scott Laughton – Calle Järnkrok
Morgan Rielly – Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Simon Benoit – Jake McCabe
Dakota Mermis – Troy Stecher
Joe Woll – presumed starter
Dennis Hildeby
The Game
Early game today, so this is the GDT. Enjoy.
