338 Sunday Update: Fragile LPC Coalition Could Soon Face Its First Test

Good evening, dear 338Canada readers,
It was another busy week in Canadian politics, albeit a quieter one in the polls — at least federally. This post-budget, pre-Holiday slowdown was not unexpected, as many polling firms are preparing to field and publish their final numbers of 2025, which should arrive in the first half of December.
Still, it will be fascinating to see which way the needle moves (if it moves at all) following the announcement of the Canada–Alberta Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on a potential pipeline project linking Alberta to the Pacific Coast through northern British Columbia. You can read the full text of the agreement here. The Angus Reid Institute was the first to release a national survey on the issue, and the results were broadly positive from coast to coast — you’ll find my full analysis of that poll here.
This agreement could seriously affect how voters view the Prime Minister, particularly in British Columbia and Quebec, where the Liberals currently hold 64 seats — a result that was already going to be difficult to replicate in the next election, even before the Alberta–Canada MOU.
Let’s recap the past week in the polls. Welcome to the 338 Sunday Update.
[Support independent media by subscribing to the 338Canada newsletter — free and paid options available. Thank you for your support!]



