An early prelim middleweight showcase pits Mansur Abdul Malik vs Antonio Trocoli; an undefeated prospect against struggling veteran seeking his first UFC victory. Mansur Abdul-Malik looks to extend his perfect record with explosive finishing ability, while Antonio Trocoli desperately needs to avoid a third consecutive defeat after back-to-back stoppages at UFC 323.
Abdul-Malik stands 6’2″ with an 80 inch reach and an 8-0-1 record. He showcases aggressive striking at 4.27 per minute with 48% accuracy while absorbing 3.49. His striking defense sits at 51% and his grappling presents minimal threat with 0.49 takedowns per fight at 33% accuracy and 0.0 submission attempts. He has an excellent 82% takedown defense that keeps scrambles in his favor when opponents shoot.
Trocoli measures 6’5″ with an 80 inch reach and 12-5 record. He showcases minimal striking at just 1.29 per minute with 50% accuracy while absorbing catastrophic 5.79. His striking defense registers at alarming 23%, significantly trailing Abdul-Malik’s defensive capabilities and his grappling shows minimal threat with 0.84 takedowns per fight at concerning 11% accuracy and 0.8 submission attempts. He has a vulnerable 50% takedown defense that presents problems against wrestling approaches.
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli Predictions And Picks
This UFC fight breaks down to whether Abdul-Malik’s athletic explosiveness and finishing power can overwhelm Trocoli’s desperate search for his first UFC victory. Abdul-Malik’s path to victory requires simply implementing his much more dangerous and explosive fighting style. His 4.27 strikes per minute output more than triples Trocoli’s pathetic 1.29, while his superior defensive metrics suggest complete control in striking exchanges.
Trocoli’s three-inch height advantage represents his only statistical edge, but physical size cannot overcome skill disparities this massive. His failure to mount any significant offense in previous UFC appearances demonstrates complete inability to implement game plans at this level. Abdul-Malik’s athletic superiority, explosive finishing ability, and overwhelming statistical advantages should produce dominant performance.
If we bet on this fight, we are going with Mansur Abdul-Malik to win via KO/TKO.
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli MMA Betting Odds
Mansur Abdul-Malik enters as the card’s heaviest favorite at -1200 on FanDuel. Meanwhile, Antonio Trocoli comes in as the massive +750 underdog. The lopsided odds reflect Abdul-Malik’s undefeated record and explosive finishing ability against Trocoli’s winless UFC struggles.
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The odds for the fight going the distance stand at +430. The overwhelming odds favor an early finish at -700, reflecting Abdul-Malik’s finishing ability and Trocoli’s back-to-back stoppages.
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli Best Bets
Here are the best bets for Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Antonio Trocoli fight:
Abdul-Malik To Win In Round 1 (-125)
Best value on the overwhelming favorite’s most likely outcome. His explosive finishing ability combined with Trocoli’s catastrophic striking defense creates immediate knockout opportunities.
Abdul-Malik By KO/TKO in Rounds 1 Or 2 (-180)
Solid odds for early knockout finish. Abdul-Malik’s good power in hands exploits Trocoli’s defensive vulnerabilities, while great ground and pound provides finishing versatility.
Under 1.5 Rounds (-200)
Safe bet despite steep odds. Abdul-Malik’s finishing ability combined with Trocoli’s back-to-back stoppages and catastrophic defensive metrics virtually guarantee first-round finish. The massive skill gap and Trocoli’s complete inability to compete at UFC level make this the safest play.
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)
(Image Credit: Brett Davis – Imagn Images)
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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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