The Kansas City Chiefs are set to face the Houston Texans in a pivotal Sunday Night Football showdown, with kickoff scheduled for primetime.
Throughout the week, uncertainty around the availability of starting right guard Trey Smith and right tackle Jawaan Taylor dominated discussions leading up to the game. Smith, who missed the previous game with an ankle injury, and Taylor, who sustained a strained tricep, were both limited in practice and ultimately listed as doubtful for the contest.
While head coach Andy Reid noted that Smith is closer to a return than Taylor, it has now become nearly official that the Chiefs will be down three starting offensive linemen—including the previously ruled out Josh Simmon—against the Texans’ league-leading scoring defense and top pass-rushing duo.
“The urgency is rising,” said Reid this week, acknowledging the challenging nature of the matchup with a reshuffled front.
This update prompted analysts to reevaluate their Chiefs vs. Texans predictions and player stat projections using new simulations that factored in the confirmed absence of key starters and the reliance on Wanya Morris and Jaylon Moore at the tackle positions.
The results of these simulations were compared to updated sportsbook odds to compile the data-driven Chiefs-Texans preview below.
Texans vs. Chiefs betting preview
Utilize the interactive widget below to view the current spread, total, and moneyline odds and probabilities for the Texans-Chiefs game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
This prediction and best bet for Sunday’s NFL matchup between the Texans and Chiefs is from Dimers.com, a reliable source for sports betting predictions.
Check out all the important details on today’s game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.
Game details
The key information you need before the Texans vs. Chiefs NFL game.
- Teams: Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. EST
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- NFL standings: Current NFL division standings
- NFL injuries: Check the latest updates to the official NFL injury report
Odds
Odds for the key markets in the Texans-Chiefs NFL game.
- Spread: Texans +4.5 (-125), Chiefs -4.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Texans +168, Chiefs -198
- Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-104)
The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Update (12/7/25): More Chiefs betting promos are now available in Missouri with DraftKings and FanDuel, or the Bet365 bonus codes SYRACUSE.
Expert prediction: Texans vs. Chiefs
Utilizing trusted data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at Dimers have executed 10,000 simulations of Sunday’s Texans vs. Chiefs game.
According to Dimers’ famous predictive analytics model, the Chiefs are more likely to defeat the Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving the Chiefs a 63% chance of winning the game.
Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the Texans (+4.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
As always, these predictions and probabilities are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Texans vs. Chiefs best bet
Our top pick for the Texans vs. Chiefs Week 14 NFL matchup is to bet on the Texans +4.5 (-125).
This betting advice is formulated through detailed simulations and valuable wagering intelligence, designed to help you make smarter investments.
Score prediction for Texans vs. Chiefs
Dimers’ predicted final score for the Houston vs. Kansas City game on Sunday has the Chiefs winning 22-19.
This expert prediction is based on each team’s average score following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.
NFL player props: Sunday
NFL props are a common way to wager on Sunday’s game without necessarily betting on its outcome.
This article features the most likely first and anytime touchdown scorers for the Texans and Chiefs, along with projected player stats.
Houston Texans
First touchdown scorer predictions
- Woody Marks: 9.1% probability
- Nico Collins: 8.1% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 4.9% probability
Anytime touchdown predictions
- Woody Marks: 38.5% probability
- Nico Collins: 34.9% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 22.8% probability
Projected box score leaders
- QB passing yards: C.J. Stroud, 239 yards
- Receiving yards: Nico Collins, 72 yards
- Rushing yards: Woody Marks, 52 yards
Kansas City Chiefs
First touchdown scorer predictions
- Rashee Rice: 10.2% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 10.1% probability
- Travis Kelce: 6.2% probability
Anytime touchdown predictions
- Rashee Rice: 42.7% probability
- Kareem Hunt: 42.5% probability
- Travis Kelce: 28.9% probability
Projected box score leaders
- QB passing yards: Patrick Mahomes, 247 yards
- Receiving yards: Rashee Rice, 74 yards
- Rushing yards: Kareem Hunt, 40 yards
NFL Week 14: Texans vs. Chiefs
Get ready for Sunday’s game between the Texans and Chiefs in Week 14 of the National Football League season at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, which is scheduled to start at 8:20 p.m. EST. We emphasize that all of the NFL predictions and NFL best bets in this preview are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Texans vs. Chiefs matchup, and they are correct at the time of publishing. They are intended to assist you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.
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