Dan Johnson details his top Ladd McConkey player prop for the NFL Week 14 matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football.
SoFi under the lights turns into a route-running clinic whenever Ladd McConkey starts rocking defenders out of their leverage. Two eight-win teams are trading narratives, but Justin Herbert’s safest answer in the chaos is still No. 15 breaking option routes and glance digs on time. While everyone chases A.J. Brown fireworks and Herbert’s fractured left hand storyline, McConkey is the quiet metronome who keeps this game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Philadelphia Eagles—and our ticket—moving.
To wit—below, check out one of my favorite Ladd McConkey prop to consider from this Monday night tilt.
Ladd McConkey o51.5 total receiving yards (-110)
Ladd McConkey over 51.5 receiving yards at -110 fits everything about how we’re playing this game. He’s sitting on 90 targets, 58 catches, 683 yards and five touchdowns, a steady 11.8 yards per catch with +0.198 EPA per target. Over the last month he has 22 targets, 15 catches and 215 yards, with a 68.2% catch rate and a route share that just hit 89 percent. That’s a full-time role married to efficient volume, not a gadget spike.
The Eagles’ defense looks scary by name, but the recent form is softer than the logo. They allow 347.2 yards per game, and while their season EPA allowed per play sits at a respectable -0.046, the coverage tape has been full of leverage gifts underneath and in the intermediate windows. Justin Herbert has held up with +0.086 EPA per play over his last four even while seeing pressure on 56.0% of his dropbacks, and McConkey is the receiver he trusts to win on time when the pocket squeezes.
McConkey’s alignment helps this number, too. He can start in the slot, motion out, or work reduced splits outside, which makes it harder for Philadelphia to hide weaker corners or linebackers on him without tilting coverage toward Keenan Allen or Oronde Gadsden. In a Chargers moneyline script I expect even with an injured left hand 32 to 36 Herbert attempts and seven to nine looks for McConkey, which makes a 5-for-70 type line a reasonable median. I’d rather ride his role and efficiency than sweat a thin side here.
