Miami Heat at Orlando Magic odds, picks and predictions

The Miami Heat (14-10) visit the Orlando Magic (14-10) Tuesday in an NBA Cup quarterfinal. Tip-off from Kia Center in Orlando, Florida, is at 6 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Magic odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Magic lead 2-0 with a pair of home wins — 125-121 Oct. 22 and 106-105 Friday
The Heat enter the quarterfinal game having lost 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5. They are coming off a 127-111 home loss to the Sacramento Kings on Saturday as 8.5-point favorites with the Under (241.5) cashing. Friday’s 106-105 loss to the Magic came as 7-point underdogs with the Under (241) cashing.
The Magic are 10-4 in their last 14 games, but have lost 2 of their last 3 games. They last played on Sunday, losing 106-100 on the road to the New York Knicks as 1-point underdogs with the Under (229.5) cashing. They lost F Franz Wagner, their leading scorer at 22.7 points per game, in the first quarter to a high ankle sprain.
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Heat at Magic odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Magic -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -1.5 (+100) | Magic +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Magic key injuries
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (toe) probable
- G Pelle Larsson (hip) probable
- G Davion Mitchell (groin) probable
- G Terry Rozier (not with team) out
- G Dru Smith (hip) questionable
Magic
- F Franz Wagner (ankle) out
- C Moritz Wagner (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Magic picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 111, Magic 105
The Magic will miss Wagner while the Heat are healthy and have a rested Herro, who is averaging 23.8 points in 5 games this season as he returns after missing 2 games. The Heat are 3-2 with Herro in the lineup.
Miami has struggled on the road this season, going 4-7 so far, while Orlando is 9-4 at home. But 6 of the Heat’s 7 losses have been without Herro.
Give the Heat the edge in this game, but with only a 1.5-point spread, you will get better value for little risk betting the spread.
PASS.
While you could go with the ML, which protects you in the case of a Heat 1-point win, Miami has only won by 1 point once this season. Thirteen of their 14 wins have been by at least 2 points.
Orlando has not lost by fewer than 2 points.
BET HEAT -1.5 (+100).
Their first meeting this season had a total of 246, while their meeting last week finished with a total of 211.
Four of the Magic’s last 10 games have surpassed 235, while 5 of the Heat’s last 10 have. But the total has stayed below 235 in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 losses.
BET UNDER 235.5 (-110).
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