Qarabağ FK – Ajax Amsterdam prediction & tips 10.12.2025
Qarabağ FK welcome Ajax Amsterdam to the Tofig Bakhramov Stadium on Wednesday, December 10th, 2025, for a crucial Champions League encounter on Matchday 6. The Azerbaijani champions currently occupy 19th position in the league phase table with seven points from five matches, while the Dutch giants find themselves in a precarious 36th place without a single point to their name. With both teams desperately needing points, this fixture promises to be a fascinating battle between a resilient home side and visitors seeking their first Champions League victory of the campaign.
Our Betting Prediction for Qarabağ FK vs Ajax Amsterdam
Our betting tip for this Champions League encounter strongly favours a home victory for Qarabağ FK at odds of 2.04 with 1win. The Azerbaijani side’s impressive home record in the competition, combined with Ajax’s woeful away form, makes this an attractive proposition. Qarabağ have remained unbeaten at home in the Champions League this season, securing one victory and one draw, while Ajax have failed to register a single point in five attempts.
Our tips
This match has ended or all pre-match betting is closed.
Our second betting prediction focuses on the both teams to score market, where we recommend backing “Yes” at 1.60 with Paripesa. Despite their contrasting fortunes in the competition, both sides have shown attacking intent. Qarabağ have found the net eight times in five matches, while Ajax, despite their struggles, managed to score in their recent domestic fixture against Fortuna Sittard. The hosts’ defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded nine goals, suggest Ajax may find opportunities to breach their backline.
Qarabağ FK Form Analysis
Qarabağ FK have demonstrated remarkable resilience in their Champions League campaign, accumulating seven points from five matches to position themselves within touching distance of qualification spots. Under the guidance of Qurbanov, the Azerbaijani champions have secured two victories and one draw alongside two defeats, showcasing their ability to compete against Europe’s elite. Their goal difference of 8:9 reflects their attacking prowess while highlighting defensive areas requiring improvement.
The home fortress at Tofig Bakhramov Stadium has proven crucial to their European ambitions, with Qarabağ remaining undefeated in their domestic Champions League fixtures. They secured one victory and registered one draw, providing the foundation for their current league phase position. This home advantage becomes particularly significant when considering their recent setback against Napoli, where they suffered a disappointing 2-0 defeat away from home.
Examining their broader form across all competitions reveals encouraging signs for the hosts. Qarabağ have collected three victories, one draw, and suffered just one defeat in their last five fixtures, demonstrating consistency and competitive spirit. Their most recent outing resulted in a 1-1 draw against Zira FK, a result that maintains their positive momentum heading into this crucial European encounter.
Qurbanov’s tactical approach has emphasised defensive solidity while maintaining attacking threat, particularly evident in their home performances. The manager’s experience in European competition has proven invaluable, with his squad adapting well to the demands of Champions League football. Their ability to secure positive results against established European opponents suggests they possess the quality and mentality required for continental success.
Ajax Amsterdam Struggling for Form
Ajax Amsterdam’s Champions League campaign has proven catastrophic, with the Dutch giants failing to register a single point from five matches. Currently languishing in 36th position, Ajax face the unprecedented prospect of finishing bottom of the league phase table. Their goal difference of 1:16 starkly illustrates their struggles, having managed just one goal while conceding sixteen across five fixtures.
Under Grim’s stewardship, Ajax have endured five consecutive defeats in the competition, a run that has exposed fundamental defensive frailties and attacking inefficiencies. Their away record proves particularly concerning, with two defeats from two matches highlighting their inability to secure positive results on foreign soil. The recent 2-0 home defeat against Benfica epitomises their European struggles, failing to capitalise on home advantage against quality opposition.
Despite their European woes, Ajax have shown glimpses of improvement in domestic competition. Their recent form across all competitions includes two victories alongside three defeats from five matches, suggesting capability exists within the squad. The 3-1 away victory against Fortuna Sittard provided much-needed confidence, demonstrating their ability to find the net and secure convincing victories when circumstances align favourably.
Grim faces the considerable challenge of restoring confidence and tactical cohesion to a squad that has underperformed significantly in European competition. The manager’s tactical adjustments have yielded mixed results, with domestic improvements failing to translate into Champions League success. Their attacking play has shown promise in recent fixtures, but defensive vulnerabilities continue undermining their competitive prospects.
The pressure surrounding Ajax’s European campaign has intensified considerably, with qualification hopes effectively extinguished. This situation creates both opportunity and risk, potentially liberating players from expectation while simultaneously affecting motivation and concentration levels.
Last Direct Encounters
The previous meeting between these sides resulted in a comprehensive 3-0 away victory for Ajax Amsterdam, establishing a psychological advantage for the Dutch club. This head-to-head record from their sole encounter demonstrates Ajax’s superior quality when performing at optimal levels, though their current form suggests significant decline from those standards.
The historical precedent provides Ajax with confidence regarding their ability to dominate this fixture, while Qarabağ will seek revenge for that heavy defeat. However, current form and circumstances have shifted dramatically since their last meeting, with Qarabağ’s improved European performances contrasting sharply with Ajax’s continental struggles.
Performance
Last games
2025-07-30T16:00:00Z
2. Round
Qarabağ FK1:0Shelbourne FC
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2025-08-05T18:00:00Z
3. Round
Shkëndija 790:1Qarabağ FK
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2025-08-12T16:00:00Z
3. Round
Qarabağ FK5:1Shkëndija 79
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2025-08-19T19:00:00Z
Play-offs
Ferencváros1:3Qarabağ FK
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