Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere Prediction: A tight Judges Card to settle this tight contest

Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere: Prediction and odds on the Match on 14 December, 2025

The UFC Vegas 112 Main Card is heating up. Melquizael Costa from Brazil faces Morgan Charriere from France in a thrilling Featherweight showdown. Don’t miss this fight. We’ve got your betting prediction and pick right here. Who will win this encounter? Here at Telecom Asia, we take a look at the match’s preview and offer free betting opportunities.

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Melquizael Costa’s recent form

Melquizael Costa has a professional MMA record of 24 wins and 7 losses. Since joining the UFC in 2023, he’s gone 5-2. After a loss to Steve Garcia, Costa won four straight, with two submissions and two unanimous decisions. He now faces a big challenge in Morgan Charriere. Costa stands 5-foot-10 with a 71-inch reach. He mixes striking with a solid submission game, showing the evolution of Brazilian MMA. His nickname, “Melk Cauthy,” and southpaw stance reflect his methodical fighting style. Costa stays offensively active while being defensively sound. Though he lost two of his first three UFC bouts, he bounced back with four straight wins. He has the striking and grappling skills to break into the top 15 of the featherweight division. A win over Charriere could get him a ranked opponent next. In 2022, Costa joined the Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA). He won one of his two fights, earning the Predator FC Featherweight Championship with a win over Ángel Rodríguez. Costa joined the UFC in 2023. His UFC debut came at UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill, where he lost to Thiago Moisés by rear-naked choke submission. Since then, he’s gone 2-1 in UFC Fight Night, with wins over Shayilan Nuerdanbieke and Austin Lingo.

Melquizael Costa`s Strength

Costa fights out of Bauru, São Paulo, Brazil, and is ranked 80th in the featherweight division. He turned pro in 2014, defeating Benjamin Pantoja. In 2016, he won against Jonas dos Santos at the Revelation Fighting Championship and Severino Ramalho at the Strike Fighting Championship.

Morgan Charriere’s recent form

Morgan Charriere, “The Last Pirate,” has a record of 21 wins, 11 losses, and one no contest. He fights out of Mantes-La-Jolie, France, with Team Chapa Quente. Charriere has been inconsistent in the UFC, winning some and losing others. He’s 2-2 in his last four fights, with his most recent victory being a “Fight of the Night” win over Nate Landwehr. Charriere is an exciting fighter with knockout power. However, he tends to fade in later rounds and struggles when fights go to decision. If the fight ends early, he’s likely to win. If it goes longer, he risks losing due to declining output. Standing 5-foot-8 with a 69-inch reach, Charriere will look for back-to-back UFC wins for the first time. On September 28, 2024, he faced Gabriel Miranda at UFC Fight Night and won with a left hook knockout in less than a minute into the second round. His performance earned him a $50,000 Performance of the Night bonus. Before that, Charriere lost to Chepe Mariscal by split decision. He has fought in four promotions: WWFC (1 win, 1 loss, 1 draw), 100% Fight (3 wins, 5 losses), CWFC (6 wins, 3 losses), and UFC (2 wins, 1 loss). He is ranked 47th in the MMA Featherweight division. Of his 20 career wins, 12 came by KO/TKO, 3 by submission, and 5 by decision.

Morgan Charriere`s Strength

Morgan “The Last Pirate” Charriere is a knockout artist. He fights with a finish-first mentality. His orthodox stance and knockout power make him a serious threat. He’s known for ending fights quickly. Strong takedown defense only adds to his danger. Anyone stepping into the octagon with him should be prepared.

Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere Betting Insights, Tips & Odds

• Costa’s numbers show his skill. He lands 4.44 strikes per minute with 49% accuracy. He absorbs only 3.09 strikes, giving him a strong offensive-defense balance. His 1.2 submission attempts per 15 minutes keep opponents on their toes. His 84% leg strike accuracy shows growth in his technique.
• Charriere is dangerous with his striking and takedown defense. His 83% takedown defense is top-tier. His 50% striking accuracy is solid. With a 60% finish rate and knockout power, he’s always a threat. His 84% body strike accuracy shows his precision. But Costa’s physical advantages and submission skills give him the edge.

Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere Expert Betting Tip

Charriere is 3-2 in the UFC and has faced tougher competition than Costa. In his two losses, he showed great skill. Against Chepe Mariscal, Charriere lost a close decision that many felt was wrong. He also fought Nathaniel Wood, a top 15 featherweight, and competed well. One of Charriere’s standout moments came in his UFC debut with a head-kick knockout. He’s a showman and often earns Fight of the Night bonuses. His coach, Eduardo Rodrigues, will likely focus on getting a quick win, as Charriere is strongest in the first two rounds. Costa is on a four-fight win streak, while Charriere has been inconsistent in the Octagon. Costa has a 9-3 record in decisions, while Charriere is 5-10. I believe Costa will outwork Charriere and win by decision.

Our first prediction is Melquizael Costa to win by decision or technical decision – 2.40 odds for 1xbet

Our Second prediction is Melquizael Costa to win – 1.83 odds for Bet365

Lastly, Our third prediction is Double Chance Melquizael Costa – 1.72 odds for Betway