Ryan Wohl details his best bet for Melquizael Costa vs. Morgan Charriere at this week’s UFC Fight Night.
The third fight on the final UFC Fight Night of 2025 features a Featherweight fight between Melquizael Costa vs. Morgan Charriere. Costa, 29, is 24-7 with 15 finishes and has won four consecutive fights in the UFC. Charriere is 4-1 in his previous five contests and is coming off a third-round knockout over Nate Landwehr in July.
Here is my best bet for Melquizael Costa vs. Morgan Charriere at the final UFC Fight Night of 2025.
Costa has a two-inch height advantage (5’10” vs. 5’8″) and a two-inch reach advantage (71″ vs. 69″). On the feet, it is close as Costa averages 0.36 more significant strikes per minute (4.44 vs. 4.08) while Charriere is slightly more efficient (50% vs. 49%). Charriere is better on the ground as he lands 2.11 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 46 percent rate.
The odds are close in that contest as Costa is a -135 favorite with Charriere being a +114 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds with the over being -215. This fight is -175 to go the distance and +130 to end before the allotted 15 minutes. Both fighters have combined for 21 finishes in their careers.
Charriere’s last five victories have come by knockout, while Costa has had three of his previous five contests end by finish. Since both fighters are aggressive, it should only be a matter of time before someone lands a knockout or submission.
