2025 Swiss Indoors Basel: Giron [57th] vs. Shapovalov [23rd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Round of 32 at the Swiss Indoors Basel on Tuesday, Marcos Giron (ranked No. 57) faces Denis Shapovalov (No. 23).

Shapovalov has -135 odds to earn a spot in the Round of 16 with a win over Giron (+105).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 10:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Marcos Giron vs. Denis Shapovalov matchup info

• Tournament: Swiss Indoors Basel
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Tuesday, October 21
• Court Surface: Hard

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Giron vs. Shapovalov Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Giron has a 57.4% to win.

Giron vs. Shapovalov Betting Odds

• Giron’s odds to win match: +105
• Shapovalov’s odds to win match: -135
• Giron’s odds to win tournament: +5000
• Shapovalov’s odds to win tournament: +2200

Giron vs. Shapovalov matchup performance & stats

• Giron is 14-15 on hard courts in 2025.
• In games on hard courts, Giron has a 76.8% winning percentage in service games and a 23.5% winning percentage in return games (291 service games won out of 379, and 93 return games won out of 395).
• On hard courts, Giron is 28th in break point winning percentage (34.7%) after going 76-for-219.
• In his last tournament (the European Open), Giron lost to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6, 1-6, 4-6 on October 15, in the Round of 16.
• Shapovalov has registered a 21-11 record on hard courts this year, clinching two tournament titles.
• Shapovalov has won 75.2% of his service games on hard courts, and 32.4% of his return games.
• Shapovalov has converted 47.8% of his break-point opportunities on hard courts (108 of 226).
• On October 18, Shapovalov lost to No. 12-ranked Casper Ruud, 3-6, 4-6, in the semifinal of the Stockholm Open, his most recent tournament.