Get ready for fireworks in Dallas. It’s Cooper Flagg’s NBA debut against Victor Wembanyama, and FTN’s NBA Simulation Model expects points. Lots of them.
Our projection has this game finishing Mavs 117.1, Spurs 113.5, which puts the total at 230.6. That’s well above the current line of 223.5 at -110 on FanDuel. That gives us an 11.4% edge and a 63.8% chance to hit the over.
Flagg’s pace and playmaking add juice to Dallas’ already fast offense, while Wemby’s growth as a scorer should keep San Antonio competitive. This sets up as the perfect recipe for a high-scoring opener. If you want to get a little action in on the No. 1 overall pick in this year’s NBA draft, Flagg’s points line is 15.5 at -130 on BetMGM as of this writing. That’s one point lower than most other books have it.
Grab the Over 223.5 while it’s still hanging out there, and make sure to check FTN’s live NBA odds to lock in the best line. For more data-backed plays, hit the NBA betting model, prop tool and bet tracker at FTN.
