Tennis | ATP Paris-Bercy 2025 | Fearnley qualifies for Paris-Bercy after Vienna heartbreak, Rublev test awaits

By Tony Fairbairn

• Jacob Fearnley [Q] v Andrey Rublev [12]
• H2H: First Meeting

PARIS, FRANCE – Jacob Fearnley qualified for the Masters 1000 event in Paris and will now face Andrey Rublev in a massive opening round test.

H2H & Match Fundamentals

Jacob Fearnley [Q] v Andrey Rublev [12]      
H2H: First Meeting             

ATP Paris-Bercy 2025    
Paris, France      

Indoor Hard
Prize Money: €24,500

Third on Court Central (13:00 GMT)   
Sky/Now TV

After a tough loss in Vienna, Jacob Fearnley has bounced back by qualifying for Paris-Bercy and will face Andrey Rublev in the opening round.

Tale of the Tape – Key Stats (Last 52 Weeks)

H2H:
Jacob Fearnley (WR 81)
Andrey Rublev (WR 15)

Tournament Previous Best
N/A
Semi-Final (2023)        

1st Serve %
60.5
60.6

Service Games Won %
76.7
84.5

Break Points Saved %
61.3
62

2nd Serve Return Points Won %
52.3
49.2

Break Points Converted %
42.3
35.9

Fearnley will look to continue his efficiency on break points against an erratic and inconsistent Rublev.

Playing styles and prediction

Rublev has had a resurgent second half of the season but will be disappointed with recent results as his Nitto ATP Finals charge has died down. Now, Rublev looks to end the season with some momentum heading into an important year in 2026 as he looks to regain his place amongst tennis’ elite.

Fearnley will look to be aggressive on the first serve while taking advantage of the Rublev second serve. Meanwhile, Rublev will use the forehand to dictate play and expose the weaknesses of Fearnley. This will be a good match with both players feeling confident in their game. If Fearnley has a good serving day, then there is no reason why he can’t win this match.

Prediction: Fearnley in three sets.  

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