Golden State Warriors at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

The Golden State Warriors (4-1) and Milwaukee Bucks (3-1) meet Thursday at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET (NBATV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Bucks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

2024-25 season series: Warriors won 2-0

The Warriors beat the LA Clippers 98-79 at home Tuesday, covering as a 1.5-point underdog as the Under (224) hit. F Jimmy Butler III led the way with 21 points on 9-for-12 shooting with 11-time All-Star G Stephen Curry chipping in 19 points. Golden State has gotten off to a hot start, but is just 1-1 straight up and against the spread (ATS) on the road.

The Bucks, who are 4-0 ATS, beat the New York Knicks 121-111 Tuesday, covering as a 2-point home underdog as the Over (229.5) cashed. F Giannis Antetokounmpo has been scorching opponents this season. He dropped 37 points on the Knicks and has tallied at least 31 in all 4 Milwaukee contests. The Bucks are both 2-0 straight up and ATS at home.

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Warriors at Bucks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:57 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Warriors -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Bucks +118 (bet $100 to win $118)
• Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -2.5 (-110) | Bucks +2.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Warriors at Bucks key injuries

Warriors

• F Moses Moody (thumb) questionable

Bucks

• F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) probable
• G Kevin Porter Jr. (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 116, Warriors 112

BET BUCKS (+118).

The Bucks have shooters all over the court after the offseason addition of C Myles Turner. That’s going to be difficult for a Warriors side, that plays C Quinten Post and C Al Horford a combined 36 minutes per game, to stop. Milwaukee also ranks 10th (6.1) in net rating, while the Warriors rank 11th (5.7). With 2 double-figure wins at home, Milwaukee should continue its torrid pace.

That said, the Warriors are 1-1 on the road with a 10-point win over the LA Lakers and a 20-point loss to the Portland Trail Blazers. Those don’t indicate a team dominant in away games. Considering those trends, take BUCKS (+112).

PASS.

Milwaukee is at home and should come out on top. It has better odds to win outright than as a slight underdog.

BET UNDER 232.5 (-110).

Neither team ranks in the top 10 in pace, and both teams rank in the top 15 in defensive rating. Both teams are also coming off their best defensive performance of the season with the Bucks allowing 111 points to the Knicks and the Warriors giving up just 79 to the Clippers.

To aid those notes, the Warriors rank 24th and the Bucks 29th in offensive rebounding rate, suggesting neither will get many second-chance efforts either. Put it all together and back UNDER 232.5 (-110).

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