One of the best Monday Night Football matchups of the season kicks off this evening, as the Eagles (6-2) visit the Packers (5-2-1) in a battle of NFC contenders.
With two potent offenses going at it, there are plenty of quality player prop options to consider.
To me, tight end Luke Musgrave is a solid option on the Green Bay side. No, I do not expect Tucker Kraft’s season-ending injury to mean that the Packers offense will stop heavily featuring the tight end. I also expect a heavy dose of Saquon Barkley in this game, as I’ll explain below.
If you’re looking for an Anytime Touchdown Scorer bet, Jalen Hurts is awfully tempting at +105, even though he’s found the end zone as a runner just once in Philadelphia’s last five games.
Luke Musgrave Over 3.5 Receptions (+114 at FanDuel) — 1 unit
With Tucker Kraft taking over as not only Green Bay’s top receiving threat, but one of the best pass-catchers in the league, over the first half of the season, Luke Musgrave (9 catches for 88 yards on 10 targets on the year) has not played a huge role for the Packers so far this year.
But now that Kraft is done for the year following a torn ACL, I expect Musgrave — a second-round pick in 2023, one round before Kraft was selected — to take a huge step forward. After Musgrave registered season-highs in snap/snap percentage (30/46.2), targets (3), catches (3) and receiving yards (34) in last week’s loss to the Panthers, he should be a popular target of Love’s both tonight and going forward.
WR Christian Watson’s return last week was big for Green Bay, but the Packers’ receiving core still lacks a clear-cut No. 1 option. That leaves room for Musgrave to emerge down the stretch. He could have an especially substantial role tonight, as WRs Matthew Golden, Savion Williams and Dontayvion Wicks are all listed as questionable. In fact, if any of those three are ruled out before kickoff, it’s a safe bet that Musgrave over 3.5 receptions will not be available at plus-money.
I’m not expecting Musgrave to replicate Kraft’s incredible early-season production (four catches per game, 15.3 yards per reception), but Musgrave’s 8.8 yards per target this year shows that when targeted, he’s a solid option. He also put up solid numbers in just 10 games as a rookie (34 catches for 352 yards on 46 targets) before being limited by injury to just seven games last fall.
Saquon Barkley Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-110 at DraftKings ) — 1 unit
Barkley’s encore following his incredible 2024 campaign has gotten off to a frustrating start, as he’s been held to 60 yards or fewer in six of his first eight games.
The good news is that in his last game (the Eagles are coming off a Week 9 bye), he had by far his best performance of the season in Week 8, exploding for 150 yards on just 14 carries. His big day started with a bang, as he took his first touch 65 yards for a TD. Even if you remove that one from the equation, he would have finished that game with 13 carries for 85 yards.
Barkley also averaged at least 4.8 yards per carry in Weeks 5 and 6. While his performance against the Vikings in Week 7 (18 carries for 44 yards) left a ton to be desired, the important thing is that he’s been effective in three of the last four weeks. And though Minnesota did bottle up Barkley, the Vikes’ commitment (overcommitment?) to stopping him was a big reason Hurts lit them up with several long completions.
The Eagles also have a great chance to keep the running game in gear given the Packers’ struggles stopping the run vs. the Panthers in Week 9. Barkley’s numbers this year make this a bit of a risk. He did, however, cash this prop in 16 of 20 games last year (including the playoffs). I expect his production down the stretch this year to look more like last year’s than his underwhelming numbers to date this season.
It’s also worth noting that in two games vs. Green Bay a year ago, Barkley carried the ball a total of 49 times for 228 yards (4.65 ypc) and two touchdowns, with a 34-yard rush in Week 1 and a 17-yarder in the NFC Wild Card game between these teams last January.
Best Eagles-Packers Anytime TD Bet: J. Hurts (+105 at FD) — 1 unit
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts picked up where he left off a year ago in September, delivering four rushing touchdowns in Weeks 1-3. Following his team’s Week 3 win over the Rams, Hurts had cashed his anytime touchdown prop in 16 of his last 22 games over the 2024 and 2025 seasons, including 13 times in 19 total regular-season and postseason contests last year.
He’s cooled off on this front over the last five weeks, with just one rushing touchdown in Weeks 4 through 8. Still, of Philly’s 37 total red-zone rushing attempts this year, 18 of them (48.6%) have gone to Hurts. That’s one more red zone carry than Barkley has logged.
More importantly, the Eagles have run the ball from inside the opponent’s 5-yard line 13 times in eight games. Hurts has gotten a whopping nine of those (nearly 70 percent). That’s a remarkable share of the most high-value touches available.
Barkley’s four carries inside the 5 have gone for -7 yards and 0 TDs, while Hurts’ 9 carries inside the 5 have gone for 10 yards and 4 TDs. Those numbers should mean Hurts will keep getting the majority of these rushing attempts.
Hurts running for a touchdown is admittedly not nearly the lock it was last year. Still, it’s likely enough to easily justify backing him at +105.
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