Four NFL player props backed by perfect trends on NFL Sunday in Week 12 feature Kareem Hunt vs. Colts
Prop Bet: Kareem Hunt under 14.5 rushing attempts
Season trend: 10 of last 10
The best trend of them all is hitting at a 100% rate over this entire season to date, as Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt has not topped 14 rushing attempts in a single game.
He’s peaked with 13 twice, and only seen double digits in two other games. Even in games with Isiah Pacheco sidelined, Hunt hasn’t seen a full workload as the Chiefs work in WR carries, Brashard Smith and even Patrick Mahomes with a handful of carries per game.
The Chiefs will face the Colts, who have the 5th-ranked rushing defense but are ranked 25th vs. the pass, so Kansas City will likely lean more on the passing game, limiting Hunt’s volume.
For more, check out our full player projections for Chiefs vs. Colts.
Prop Bet: Noah Fant over 22.5 receiving yards
Season trend: 8 of Last 8
Our next trend actually stretches all the way back to last season, but even when isolating only this year’s games, it’s at a 100% hit rate.
Bengals TE Noah Fant has tallied at least 26 yards in every game he’s played this year, drawing 4+ targets in six of eight games as well. He’s even cleared this total with a single catch three separate times and has brought in 30 of 34 targets this year.
He doesn’t have big games, but he’s consistent and reliable as a short-field option in the Cincy offense, and he’s done so with Joe Burrow, Jake Browning and Joe Flacco all under center.
Without Ja’Marr Chase, Fant could slide up slightly in the pecking order after seeing a season-high six targets in Week 11, and he gets a projection of 3.0 receptions and 28.4 receiving yards from the Dimers model.
Check out our Bengals vs. Patriots prediction for more data and insights.
Prop Bet: DeAndre Hopkins under 21.5 receiving yards
Season trend: 5 of last 5
Our next trend hasn’t hit at a 100% rate this season, but is on a five-game streak and has cashed in 7 of 10 games this season.
WR DeAndre Hopkins joined the Ravens in the offseason and has been used very minimally in Baltimore’s offense, never seeing more than four targets in a game, and with two or fewer looks in seven games as he heads towards career lows across the board.
While our model does find value in his over of 1.5 receptions at -138 with a 64.0% probability, we don’t find an edge in his yards prop, lining him up for another low-output game.
Get predictions and data for this matchup between the Ravens and Jets.
Prop Bet: Tyjae Spears over 17.5 receiving yards
Season trend: 5 of last 5
Our final trend for NFL Sunday has hit in five of six games this season for Titans RB Tyjae Spears, who missed the first month of the season with injury.
He saw 0 targets in his first game back, but has drawn 3+ in all five games since and hit this over in every game with receiving yardage totals of 19, 18, 23, 36 and 31, improving nearly game-by-game.
His backfield mate Tony Pollard has been inefficient both on the ground and in the passing game, topping out at 13 yards in all but one game since Spears returned.
The Dimers model projects Spears for 2.7 receptions and 20.0 receiving yards vs. the Seahawks, who despite an excellent rushing defense, allow 40.7 receiving yards per game to RBs, the fifth-most in the NFL.
Get more player projections for Titans vs. Seahawks.
Why Not Parlay these Player Props?
All backed by a 100% hit rate over the past five games, these NFL player prop bets are backed by strong trends and supported by the Dimers NFL simulation data.
Bettors can play each bet as a straight wager, or entertain a trends-backed NFL parlay that would pay out at impressive odds of +1129 which would return over $300 off a $25 bet.
Dimers’ NFL Betting Resources for the 2025-26 Season
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