Zach Ertz Week 13 Outlook – Broncos at Commanders

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Sat, Nov 29th 2025, 8:35am EST
Zach Ertz is the TE16 in fantasy points per game with two TE1 weekly finishes this season (none since Week 6). Among tight ends, he ranks eighth in deep targets and 18th in red zone looks. The return of Patrick Surtain this week will transform the Denver pass defense back into a single high heavy unit. In Weeks 1-7, with Surtain healthy, Denver utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (59.2%). They had moved to two high with him out, but I expect them to revert to their single high ways this week. That is horrible news for Ertz. Against single high, Ertz has had a 15.8% target share with 1.08 yards per route run and an 18.7% first-read share. Denver has given up only four receiving touchdowns to tight ends all season, but they have also allowed the third-highest yards per reception and the 11th-most receiving yards per game to the position. Ertz is off the streaming radar this week.




