By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Sat, Nov 29th 2025, 8:35am EST
Deebo Samuel is the WR14 in fantasy points per game with a 24.6% target share, 47 receiving yards per game, 1.75 yards per route run, and a 30.1% first-read share. He leads the team with 11 red zone targets and six deep targets. As good as Samuel has been, his production since Week 6 has taken a hit, with only one top 24 weekly finish since then. The return of Patrick Surtain this week will transform the Denver pass defense back into a single high heavy unit. In Weeks 1-7, with Surtain healthy, Denver utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (59.2%). They had moved to two high with him out, but I expect them to revert to their single high ways this week. That is horrible news for Samuel. Against single high, he has only a 22.7% target share with 1.26 yards per route run and a 29.1% first-read share. Since Week 8, Denver has limited slot receivers to the ninth-fewest PPR points per target while also ranking 15th in receiving yards per game allowed to the position. Samuel will likely have a tough week.
